France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2787078b186b19cdcc3cdbf24d4707fb635d5f9676f6b5884d1460667fa134b

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $14,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,584 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb17e…22bebacked Under	48c	2,416$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.91	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over	52c	2,180$1,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,046.4	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under	45c	1,483$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.79	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	50c	1,203$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.62	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	55c	1,159$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.82	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	46c	681.62$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.75	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under	51c	654.15$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.61	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53d0…1855backed Over	47c	633.97$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.97	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Under	54c	486.17$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.51	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under	54c	471.45$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.58	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed Under	54c	456.39$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.29	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…c873backed Under	33c	242.82$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under	54c	237.52$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.56	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+23%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6035…cc85backed Over	55c	214.75$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.04	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	-7.5wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	246	49.2%121 W · 125 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	52c	211.12$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.78	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	32c	209.51$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.59	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	235	54.9%129 W · 106 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…20debacked Under	52c	208.33$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.33	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-47%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	281	34.5%97 W · 184 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	69c	201$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.52	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	53c	179.18$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.24	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under	45c	155.33$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.9	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6b…f392backed Under	33c	137.21$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd119…e58dbacked Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Under	44c	104.02$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.77	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x539e…05bdbacked Under	48c	100.71$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.34	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	84	39.3%33 W · 51 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad1…de9bbacked Under	55c	99.5$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.1	52	69.2%36 W · 16 L	+7.0wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	32c	74.88$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.32	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	45c	62$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.02	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1992…cb3abacked Over	49c	61.59$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.59	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Over	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	239	43.5%104 W · 135 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	46c	58.35$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.46	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Over	49c	56.33$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.73	258	41.1%106 W · 152 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Under	54c	56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc429…1c89backed Over	47c	53.6$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	156	51.9%81 W · 75 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00fd…88dfbacked Over	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	54c	49.09$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.51	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc7…23f9backed Under	54c	46.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.19	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb48…9c83backed Over	48c	45.04$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.52	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabad…f40bbacked Under	54c	44.31$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.88	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac12…293abacked Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Under	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	46c	36.78$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.84	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c3…ef9fbacked Over	52c	36.1$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.38	77	35.1%27 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…7d00backed Over	48c	35.42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.42	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	70c	34.66$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.4	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91cb…105cbacked Under	48c	32.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.79	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	74c	28$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.34	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over	73c	28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.56	175	33.7%59 W · 116 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	74c	28$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.28	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed Under	54c	26.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbcb…2941backed Over	74c	26.42$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.87	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	47c	24.04$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.74	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef5…5ce9backed Under	55c	21.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0b…82cbbacked Over	49c	20.83$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.62	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	73c	14$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.78	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance won
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)Morocco won
Spread: France (-3.5)Morocco won
Spread: France (-4.5)Morocco won
Spread: France (-5.5)Morocco won
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)France won
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)France won
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)France won
Spread: Morocco (-5.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event