TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b6b…f392

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.44
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$72.36
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$55.45
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+171.6%+$233.34
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$15.77
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$24.36
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$48.75
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.82
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.76
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.54
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27.44
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$30.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.4%+$24.44
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$40.25
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.5
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+272.9%+$67.14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$23.94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+145.4%+$29.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+231.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+120.7%+$84.46
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+257.1%+$128.57
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$223.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.