Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d39d238893ea8f7e0f4d53822a594129b9a98a1fc18744dab57351742e6a702
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,898,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,869,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,898,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,941 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 19c | 428,612$82,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,866.76 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 20c | 187,072$37,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,414.31 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 187,013$51,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,182.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Yes | 20c | 177,777$35,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,555.4 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 70c | 173,439$120,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,589.39 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 80c | 159,873$127,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,524.27 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked No | 80c | 150,000$120,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 19c | 100,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,999.98 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…286bbacked Yes | 24c | 99,004$23,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,543.34 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 96,248$71,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,498.9 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 67c | 69,741$46,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,819.79 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…416fbacked Yes | 5c | 67,293$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.33 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…47cdbacked Yes | 36c | 66,000$23,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,759.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 64,290$46,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,540.03 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 16c | 63,773$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 19c | 61,035$11,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,596.74 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…73cebacked Yes | 15c | 60,863$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850.4 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…fae5backed Yes | 34c | 59,108$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 29c | 57,355$16,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,905.91 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked No | 75c | 56,310$42,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,959.34 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 8c | 55,888$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.89 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 73c | 52,910$38,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,055.67 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 66c | 49,999$33,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.73 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 20c | 48,810$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 34c | 48,036$16,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,283.25 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 18c | 47,741$8,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,471.91 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…1862backed Yes | 21c | 47,619$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 73c | 43,661$32,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,632.16 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 22c | 36,520$8,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,151.51 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes | 21c | 35,300$7,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,401.57 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 4c | 32,676$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.5 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 22c | 31,804$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 16c | 31,423$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 66c | 30,303$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 80c | 30,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 29c | 29,389$8,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,552.58 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…6610backed No | 67c | 28,800$19,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,503.97 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 27,580$6,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,529.48 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 32c | 26,459$8,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,481.45 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 16c | 25,545$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.39 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa6…7c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…e926backed Yes | 20c | 24,279$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 29c | 23,946$7,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,002.84 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 65c | 23,097$14,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,102.71 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 3c | 22,842$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.94 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 24c | 22,566$5,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,526.23 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Yes | 23c | 22,552$5,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,087.49 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 30c | 21,574$6,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,463.43 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 70c | 21,569$15,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,498.44 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 27c | 21,365$5,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,867.06 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaede…c43fbacked Yes | 14c | 21,205$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…3824backed No | 80c | 20,925$16,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 32c | 20,484$6,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,596.45 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked No | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Yes | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 36c | 17,386$6,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,258.94 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked No | 69c | 17,200$11,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 16,821$9,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,476.32 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…b99cbacked Yes | 17c | 16,599$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 72c | 16,499$11,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.8 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed No | 74c | 16,098$11,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.43 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 67c | 15,859$10,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,608.32 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…edd8backed Yes | 64c | 15,625$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 24c | 15,466$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.86 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes | 32c | 15,150$4,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.14 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…5014backed Yes | 69c | 14,514$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 14c | 14,286$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 46c | 14,004$6,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,564.36 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 13,919$9,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,110.95 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9c…78babacked Yes | 34c | 13,766$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,706.03 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 13,644$10,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.87 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 30c | 13,403$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.31 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 31c | 13,106$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.48 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…cf03backed Yes | 20c | 13,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 70c | 12,587$8,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.25 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 27c | 12,524$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.82 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 9c | 12,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…876fbacked Yes | 20c | 12,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…2816backed Yes | 3c | 11,617$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.25 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 68c | 11,576$7,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.32 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe7…6143backed Yes | 21c | 11,429$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 3c | 11,302$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.52 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 50c | 11,129$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,513.17 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 20c | 11,035$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.23 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…a72dbacked Yes | 47c | 10,650$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 33c | 10,559$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.24 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 19c | 10,526$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.94 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 80c | 10,462$8,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.01 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 23c | 10,359$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.06 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes | 19c | 10,316$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 22c | 10,241$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.71 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes | 14c | 10,215$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.11 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 32c | 10,173$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.01 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…a867backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…59ecbacked Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…8c49backed Yes | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?this page
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes won
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.