TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,315,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,902,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,315,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,659 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No76c1,157,488$882,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274,795.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…dbbdbacked Yes8c728,536$58,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,282.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c577,170$172,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,206.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcde3…534dbacked Yes8c499,999$38,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,999.95220%0 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes8c199,999$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.9120724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7923…6c0bbacked Yes8c196,710$15,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,736.815147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes64c173,057$111,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,547.0466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes10c149,947$14,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,349.3165835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No49c139,608$68,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,285.6836939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes31c129,167$40,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,312.879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes8c121,179$9,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,694.318826.1%23 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No18c112,440$20,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,269.95942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac81…c181backed Yes0c111,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+445.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes8c105,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4008521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes7c100,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0003718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5647…e8d5backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe565…e644backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafb0…8ee3backed Yes8c87,500$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+199.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No77c78,343$60,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,111.951,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c74,820$53,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,136.382,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes22c73,326$16,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,496.8229916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes9c72,285$6,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,187.284025%10 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes23c71,463$16,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,561.93,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe14a…756cbacked Yes14c71,367$10,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,163.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes24c66,718$16,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,224.042,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…eba8backed Yes1c64,850$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.52512%3 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes8c59,722$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No30c56,547$17,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,326.212,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…d559backed Yes12c55,806$6,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,732.461450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No46c55,689$25,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,018.751,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes9c55,556$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd10…a804backed Yes24c54,695$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0002630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes31c54,659$17,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,023.6931945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes7c52,919$3,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,730.8176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a49…7d21backed Yes0c52,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+111.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…73c3backed Yes22c50,380$11,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,083.552650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No61c49,368$30,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,342.6213037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed Yes38c49,237$18,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,868.484445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c48,308$36,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,995.9231945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed No42c47,837$20,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,583.8726447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes50c45,000$22,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,399.9922229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes15c43,000$6,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5405930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b5…76e3backed Yes8c42,770$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,421.56166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes7c39,293$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.481,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes36c38,650$14,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,078.7242043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa55…fae5backed Yes59c35,640$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,0002015%3 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes7c34,894$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.611,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes10c34,845$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,53036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No16c34,842$5,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,349.7742541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4977…d8edbacked Yes43c31,328$13,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,612.333026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abd…855dbacked Yes32c31,091$9,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,949.232326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38d…1ba6backed Yes10c30,010$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No79c30,000$23,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,30034247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Yes28c30,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4009943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…8cc2backed Yes63c29,536$18,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,531.291020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-51.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeec5…1862backed Yes63c28,680$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0003727%10 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No42c28,367$11,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,432.0514544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No72c27,236$19,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,497.641752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…c220backed Yes8c26,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes39c25,942$10,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,117.4864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…4a70backed Yes0c25,667$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes9c25,491$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.24719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes28c24,668$6,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,992.5733337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked No64c24,040$15,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,685.8135034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06b6…09cebacked Yes13c23,940$3,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.7690%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes21c23,887$4,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,910.7417642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Yes38c22,605$8,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,693.5437223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes0c22,400$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.86929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No79c21,894$17,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,681.3831232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No13c21,648$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,834.1120839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes9c21,111$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9007133.8%24 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf7…897ebacked Yes3c20,674$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5605332.1%17 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa183…a3d8backed Yes0c20,440$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.441457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc817…b35cbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Yes1c20,000$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.281030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdd…0302backed Yes8c20,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes62c19,998$12,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,465.419742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7480…74d9backed Yes7c19,348$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.350%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed No47c19,071$8,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,197.7511227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes2c19,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe7…6143backed Yes8c18,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004717%8 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d66…a0c0backed Yes8c18,356$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Yes8c18,005$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.453545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x555f…83a0backed Yes51c17,899$9,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,134.921643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda19…c13bbacked Yes21c17,802$3,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.982313%3 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd10…416fbacked No75c17,733$13,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,381.818237.8%31 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes71c17,600$12,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,512.4856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c17,478$8,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,540.8545039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Yes43c16,465$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0004443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No52c16,085$8,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,664.1518438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No16c15,193$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,692.923537.1%13 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked No51c15,000$7,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,358.073663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No64c14,599$9,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,321.982,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes23c14,517$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3337632.9%25 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes10c14,036$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.8946012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0498…b077backed Yes2c14,005$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.01728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Yes64c13,947$8,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,889.9625753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed Yes60c13,585$8,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,084.157432.4%24 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b83…b2e8backed Yes9c13,506$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.3422.4%1 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick10cpaid-95.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x806f…12a1backed Yes0c13,398$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.