TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBR Academyof Yawara Esports, MIBR Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports66c2,870$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.125,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked MIBR Academy53c2,850$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.51,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Yawara Esports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR Academy28c1,494$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.332,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yawara Esports59c1,458$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.521,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yawara Esports50c1,291$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.922,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MIBR Academy39c1,169$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.441,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb4…da4fbacked MIBR Academy27c899.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6572334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Yawara Esports49c747.66$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1394645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed MIBR Academy54c623.62$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3720156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked MIBR Academy55c622.52$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4263038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports63c585.39$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.857,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports20c563.91$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.214,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MIBR Academy54c534.39$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.822,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MIBR Academy44c533.57$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.041,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked MIBR Academy34c505.94$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.818549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed Yawara Esports54c371.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007374%54 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed MIBR Academy68c345.41$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.981,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed MIBR Academy51c328$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.442,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports66c322.28$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.894,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a2…2250backed MIBR Academy27c320.75$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa856…43f9backed MIBR Academy62c279.28$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked MIBR Academy29c249.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4930349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked MIBR Academy51c229$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.211,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yawara Esports49c227.8$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.436,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MIBR Academy35c220.76$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.411,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MIBR Academy53c212.37$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.732,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yawara Esports62c194.49$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6760032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR Academy45c193.87$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.23,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Yawara Esports46c178.54$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.572,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69c4…ea1ebacked Yawara Esports60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MIBR Academy59c159.21$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.893,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MIBR Academy46c145.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3240140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports57c144.5$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.924,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked MIBR Academy49c137.69$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2230450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed MIBR Academy43c128.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7933448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Yawara Esports16c124$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016720.4%34 W · 133 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacf9…2968backed MIBR Academy57c121.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.793754.1%20 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yawara Esports63c115.22$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5989046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x294e…4982backed MIBR Academy45c114.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.796747.8%32 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked MIBR Academy43c113.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4539353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Yawara Esports77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c8…2223backed Yawara Esports55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed MIBR Academy60c99.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6175438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x680a…0a15backed MIBR Academy28c97.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.621346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed Yawara Esports73c95.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Yawara Esports49c92.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.226344.1%116 W · 147 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Yawara Esports56c90.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.314757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked MIBR Academy53c89.97$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.532,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yawara Esports53c84.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2396543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed MIBR Academy24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3332054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Yawara Esports55c83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9938844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Yawara Esports45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Yawara Esports69c76.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3127037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed MIBR Academy62c75.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.812548%12 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51d7…f1dbbacked Yawara Esports27c75.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked MIBR Academy49c75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.92,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Yawara Esports44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.930638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed MIBR Academy49c69.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6547856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd50f…b948backed Yawara Esports74c67.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Yawara Esports45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016032.5%52 W · 108 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d8…c931backed Yawara Esports71c62.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.316248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked MIBR Academy38c60.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5910146.5%47 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Yawara Esports63c58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5451446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yawara Esports44c56.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8866436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIBR Academy48c56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.31,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked MIBR Academy55c53.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.271,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b6b…f392backed MIBR Academy24c52.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.251346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Yawara Esports59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017067.6%115 W · 55 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Yawara Esports42c50.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.122037.3%82 W · 138 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yawara Esports27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.572353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Yawara Esports61c49.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed MIBR Academy43c49.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8667372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed MIBR Academy57c47.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5834547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…6871backed MIBR Academy42c47.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.442231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Yawara Esports61c42.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1224558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR Academy54c42.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.793,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Yawara Esports46c36.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9242154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yawara Esports71c36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.382,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yawara Esports49c35.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.541,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Yawara Esports41c35.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.430939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yawara Esports63c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.052,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Yawara Esports60c34.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7877146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed MIBR Academy37c33.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3480740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed MIBR Academy52c33.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0840666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98df…15fcbacked Yawara Esports57c33.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MIBR Academy43c31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Yawara Esports63c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5320742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed MIBR Academy43c30.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1533950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Yawara Esports63c29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2721251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Yawara Esports59c28.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9811358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MIBR Academy46c27.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.92,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542c…ed1cbacked MIBR Academy61c26.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.292487.5%21 W · 3 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+39%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yawara Esports60c23.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Yawara Esports63c23.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6774653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x980f…6416backed Yawara Esports73c22.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.641838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x07e4…186ebacked MIBR Academy56c19.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5533362.2%207 W · 126 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Yawara Esports63c19.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2241853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b7…768cbacked Yawara Esports77c14.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.233369.7%23 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.