TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBR Academyof Yawara Esports, MIBR Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82d2…beeabacked Yawara Esports57c3,494$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.891,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed MIBR Academy47c2,534$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.537041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yawara Esports61c2,414$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.222,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Yawara Esports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR Academy43c1,920$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.265,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR Academy26c1,500$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.12,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MIBR Academy37c1,283$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.12,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yawara Esports53c1,146$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.782,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MIBR Academy36c922.58$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.451,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR Academy53c902.95$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.171,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yawara Esports54c883.36$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.413,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe82f…a089backed MIBR Academy74c817.79$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.621464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MIBR Academy44c813.43$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.532,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yawara Esports56c661.1$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.166,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed MIBR Academy43c553.17$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9327037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed Yawara Esports56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.995749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked MIBR Academy40c499.08$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.132,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked Yawara Esports54c492.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.593438.2%13 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Yawara Esports46c490.6$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5225142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yawara Esports58c489.02$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.662,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Yawara Esports65c463.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Yawara Esports75c459.23$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.1552150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked MIBR Academy40c444.48$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.481,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yawara Esports42c386.53$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1660032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa856…43f9backed Yawara Esports63c341.19$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports42c340.62$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.084,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed MIBR Academy62c321.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.277374%54 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed MIBR Academy44c316.48$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.371,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Yawara Esports50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed Yawara Esports51c298$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.189533.7%32 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports59c291.84$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.394,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yawara Esports38c273.76$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.873,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed MIBR Academy38c247.73$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4775438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Yawara Esports71c204.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5427544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Yawara Esports54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10830349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Yawara Esports61c195.65$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1840666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Yawara Esports66c183.7$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.341,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Yawara Esports75c182.2$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6513258.3%77 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR Academy34c181.5$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.792,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIBR Academy39c177$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.781,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked MIBR Academy36c175$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11215246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Yawara Esports57c168.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.630450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yawara Esports44c151.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.272,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Yawara Esports77c150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.593261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yawara Esports51c150$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.585851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294e…4982backed Yawara Esports66c149.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.996747.8%32 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51d7…f1dbbacked Yawara Esports61c149.64$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.183046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked MIBR Academy61c147.21$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2114454.9%79 W · 65 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports67c145.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.684,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yawara Esports29c135.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2962248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed MIBR Academy44c134.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.461,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Yawara Esports68c120.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7342154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed MIBR Academy36c115.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7580740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Yawara Esports36c107.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.872,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked MIBR Academy44c103.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2119050%95 W · 95 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked MIBR Academy43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5714331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked MIBR Academy44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.52,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Yawara Esports57c91.89$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4567372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0936…3833backed Yawara Esports64c90$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.66651.5%34 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yawara Esports44c85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.181,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yawara Esports58c82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9647856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked MIBR Academy37c81.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0718647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Yawara Esports76c76.32$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5833057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Yawara Esports66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked MIBR Academy38c74.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.822,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Yawara Esports52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.427150.6%137 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Yawara Esports64c64.46$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4724558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed MIBR Academy43c64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.221,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf05e…aa0fbacked MIBR Academy26c63.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+279.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Yawara Esports64c62.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d9…3f76backed MIBR Academy52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.63737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Yawara Esports39c58.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7570042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yawara Esports67c57.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4219342.5%82 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yawara Esports37c56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.561,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…6871backed MIBR Academy37c53.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.742231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed MIBR Academy43c53.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.494037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Yawara Esports66c50.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5741250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Yawara Esports40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d8…c931backed Yawara Esports57c46.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.36248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Yawara Esports76c44.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3432361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed MIBR Academy36c44.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5396543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x207a…6744backed Yawara Esports57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Yawara Esports61c43.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6739038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd64d…d51ebacked MIBR Academy76c42.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.041060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yawara Esports70c38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.552,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…b1d4backed Yawara Esports66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yawara Esports48c36.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3266436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Yawara Esports44c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9713148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Yawara Esports65c33.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Yawara Esports63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb911…d6d0backed MIBR Academy46c28.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.531070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yawara Esports64c28.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.951,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MIBR Academy39c26.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.041,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Yawara Esports68c25.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.552548%12 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yawara Esports67c25.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.861,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MIBR Academy46c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed MIBR Academy45c22.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5539946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yawara Esports64c20.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8591743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8e…de16backed Yawara Esports78c19.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yawara Esports68c17.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.663038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.