CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66e5044189220e27d8f159ae4990497b9c15aa5e53261c031507bdcad581b8be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBR Academyof Yawara Esports, MIBR Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Yawara Esports | 44c | 2,136$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.92 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 971.69$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.03 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked MIBR Academy | 55c | 269.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.63 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked MIBR Academy | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MIBR Academy | 57c | 203.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed MIBR Academy | 56c | 188$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 180.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MIBR Academy | 59c | 130.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…e1b9backed Yawara Esports | 42c | 122.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MIBR Academy | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yawara Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed MIBR Academy | 57c | 79.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked MIBR Academy | 58c | 75.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…45fcbacked Yawara Esports | 45c | 59.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed MIBR Academy | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yawara Esports | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed MIBR Academy | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked MIBR Academy | 55c | 25.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group BMIBR Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 WinnerMIBR Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 WinnerMIBR Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.