Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d765b0b9ac804b4caf06003f4fb1ed6ca29e28232e5eda7b6e40c5aab13ba7f

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Belgiumof Belgium, United States
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,680,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,762,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,680,174 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed United States	68c	625,414$427,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427,214.49	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Belgium	29c	499,623$143,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356,199.09	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Belgium	64c	94,874$60,631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,242.73	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Belgium	15c	87,830$13,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74,655.86	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Belgium	33c	71,397$23,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,524.23	59	39%23 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Belgium	17c	51,807$8,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,000.05	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Belgium	35c	47,319$16,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,757.39	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed United States	54c	39,436$21,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,295.57	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed United States	72c	33,500$24,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,039.98	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafb0…8ee3backed Belgium	16c	31,185$4,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,195.19	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	33cpaid	+199.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Belgium	49c	25,533$12,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,970.88	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed United States	75c	20,974$15,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,720.12	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked United States	65c	20,540$13,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,398.75	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked United States	25c	18,183$4,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,592.84	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Belgium	17c	18,051$3,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,982.48	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed United States	64c	16,245$10,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,360.96	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Belgium	16c	15,484$2,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,960.56	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Belgium	78c	12,821$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,820.51	47	74.5%35 W · 12 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed United States	68c	12,782$8,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,664.62	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Belgium	16c	10,831$1,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,098.15	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Belgium	33c	8,766$2,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,850.34	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed United States	54c	8,055$4,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,369.33	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Belgium	17c	7,692$1,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,383.95	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked United States	67c	7,532$5,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,046.4	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Belgium	50c	7,013$3,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,494.44	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Belgium	35c	6,941$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,541.18	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Belgium	33c	6,000$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,019.95	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Belgium	34c	5,700$1,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,762	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+6.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed United States	75c	5,176$3,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,899.23	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed United States	71c	4,992$3,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,561.99	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed United States	55c	4,757$2,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,610.53	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed United States	12c	4,550$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.16	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked United States	70c	4,396$3,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,080.33	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed Belgium	32c	4,394$1,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,987.93	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Belgium	36c	4,292$1,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,732.61	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Belgium	35c	4,229$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,748.85	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Belgium	17c	4,200$714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,486	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Belgium	34c	4,127$1,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,729.13	100	57%57 W · 43 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked United States	43c	3,646$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,565.72	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed United States	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed United States	62c	3,537$2,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,177.18	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed United States	51c	3,433$1,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,756.55	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked United States	40c	3,339$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330.24	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee39…c0fbbacked Belgium	31c	3,200$992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,207.97	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed United States	63c	3,032$1,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,918.25	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5072…17bebacked United States	67c	2,985$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	117	47%55 W · 62 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Belgium	17c	2,941$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,441.18	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+28%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a72…d306backed Belgium	34c	2,909$989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,919.77	91	61.5%56 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked United States	34c	2,794$947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.59	142	50%71 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd689…6ec7backed Belgium	34c	2,673$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,752.78	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+7.6wins	+0.16per pick	26cpaid	+65.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked United States	19c	2,659$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.98	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed United States	47c	2,545$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Belgium	68c	2,538$1,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810.68	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Belgium	15c	2,500$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,124.97	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Belgium	47c	2,480$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312.62	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed United States	19c	2,274$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.84	421	26.4%111 W · 310 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Belgium	17c	2,267$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,881.37	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+57.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Belgium	68c	2,164$1,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.27	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed United States	19c	2,105$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	170	40%68 W · 102 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Belgium	15c	2,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed United States	38c	1,974$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed United States	53c	1,918$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025.62	161	50.9%82 W · 79 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Belgium	24c	1,910$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,452.37	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7cb2…df19backed Belgium	17c	1,847$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,533.06	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked United States	69c	1,800$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242	128	54.7%70 W · 58 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Belgium	49c	1,746$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.27	214	43%92 W · 122 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Belgium	67c	1,634$1,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.23	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked United States	36c	1,616$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.71	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x306d…dec9backed Belgium	16c	1,500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,259.96	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…52d5backed Belgium	17c	1,471$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220.59	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Belgium	32c	1,461$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$994.28	110	20%22 W · 88 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed United States	33c	1,417$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.18	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Belgium	16c	1,294$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,086.62	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Belgium	35c	1,286$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.71	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked United States	74c	1,266$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.71	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Belgium	16c	1,250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	185	50.3%93 W · 92 L	+12.5wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Belgium	16c	1,250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9016…7d9dbacked Belgium	32c	1,250$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Belgium	17c	1,231$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.43	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Belgium	50c	1,224$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.18	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Belgium	79c	1,194$939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.34	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3c…1c3dbacked Belgium	17c	1,186$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$984.33	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-26%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f0…9fc0backed Belgium	35c	1,143$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.86	196	40.3%79 W · 117 L	+13.5wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b25…ef0fbacked Belgium	32c	1,121$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.07	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x523c…b03fbacked Belgium	16c	1,106$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.83	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed Belgium	20c	1,055$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.4	87	46%40 W · 47 L	+8.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked United States	71c	1,051$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.78	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed United States	67c	1,039$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.54	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Belgium	34c	1,000$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Belgium	16c	1,000$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	465	46.7%217 W · 248 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Belgium	47c	957.31$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.82	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked United States	32c	919.34$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.28	153	41.8%64 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed United States	2c	887.64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.75	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2faf…92dcbacked United States	27c	870.37$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed United States	2c	833.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Belgium	25c	824.71$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.71	224	36.6%82 W · 142 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Belgium	40c	796$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.21	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed United States	74c	786.56$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.84	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Belgium	32c	771.78$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.78	756	30.4%230 W · 526 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc576…49bcbacked United States	66c	719.7$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)this page
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event