TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$673,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$659,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $673,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c129,640$74,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,664.064,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c117,646$57,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,738.8277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c83,375$39,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,5432,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under42c40,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,199.9842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over46c32,561$14,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,992.7923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over46c31,362$14,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,430.782,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c28,036$13,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,110.848,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.9653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over37c18,903$7,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,075.72,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over44c15,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6008932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb909…c20bbacked Over47c12,366$5,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,855.577445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over44c10,135$4,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,459.247140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Over10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+86.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over57c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1278…c3dcbacked Over44c8,478$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,730.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over56c7,629$4,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,250.8317747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over30c6,943$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.024,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under55c6,784$3,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.7170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e63…ed53backed Over45c6,444$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9002828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over31c6,282$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.552,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c5,692$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.912,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over22c5,450$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.816750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under58c5,219$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.213,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.988458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc65f…fe1fbacked Over33c4,575$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over44c4,444$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.3632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over34c4,227$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.952,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over57c4,130$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.4569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c3,808$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.533,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over64c3,531$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.5210949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Over66c3,034$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.211741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Over59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7704254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41010653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under55c2,882$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.721,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over29c2,296$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.141,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c2,281$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.712,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c2,243$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.474,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over59c2,019$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.4223558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over46c2,000$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under51c1,924$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.049752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed Under76c1,832$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.1111942%50 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeafc…53ddbacked Over45c1,777$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.791741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Over29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed Over59c1,674$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.67157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c1,634$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.43,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under54c1,604$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.441,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over46c1,600$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73247127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67533149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over48c1,500$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71518644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67570648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5219…a15bbacked Over60c1,461$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8824443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over37c1,458$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.212,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under42c1,355$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.421,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over29c1,339$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0241331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Under75c1,330$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.7918043.9%79 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.795360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under56c1,220$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.011,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under56c1,110$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.823,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under57c1,107$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.1516946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Over45c1,100$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.9925251.2%129 W · 123 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under36c1,093$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9819744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under56c1,083$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.781,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Under72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over57c999.99$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9930345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under43c987.28$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.112,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed73…ee4cbacked Over44c954$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.761526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under53c851$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9713860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce2f…b499backed Over46c842.84$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39020340.4%82 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over45c828.97$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8936350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Under55c799.57$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.824045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over39c755.4$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.582,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ae…e665backed Over46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3222864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over53c681.81$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.6926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under55c650.17$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.5140655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f9…5c3dbacked Over47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa614…0bafbacked Under53c623.97$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.974626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over41c610$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.116655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over47c583.06$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.047153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Over35c565$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7517040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over47c530.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9829639.5%117 W · 179 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Over61c520.64$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.7420532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over58c518.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Over46c510$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.614745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over45c506.8$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.051,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bed…85b8backed Over49c502.93$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24612544.8%56 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under53c501$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4761752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22032042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f3…85cabacked Over26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23513348.1%64 W · 69 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Over31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1554822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.0524626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under53c499.23$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5228945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.