United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d7bd677d7faf66cd049bcbb8d533264b0766dd37066f6636038629373f3aebb

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $299,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $306,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,977 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	21c	126,109$26,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,104.61	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d18…24a6backed Over	79c	100,000$79,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,999.92	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	80c	39,532$31,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,103.9	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Under	22c	27,843$6,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,021.46	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	80c	25,977$20,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,232.44	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	21c	17,065$3,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,539.2	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	80c	15,786$12,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,175.06	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	20c	8,709$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750.2	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	78c	5,970$4,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,305.39	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a8…e2f5backed Over	79c	5,000$3,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	78c	4,606$3,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.72	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	19c	4,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x129f…ca97backed Under	21c	3,700$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	5c	3,032$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.55	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	19c	2,793$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.11	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	78c	2,777$2,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.88	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	20c	2,759$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.01	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	20c	2,500$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.76	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	20c	2,500$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.31	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	26c	2,382$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.81	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	21c	2,168$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.93	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	79c	1,953$1,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.91	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	19c	1,930$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.66	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	21c	1,729$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.38	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	20c	1,669$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.86	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	72c	1,536$1,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	1c	1,499$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	80c	1,300$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.78	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	19c	1,202$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.34	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	21c	1,071$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.91	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Over	77c	1,000$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	200	49.5%99 W · 101 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Over	80c	875$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	113	57.5%65 W · 48 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked Over	79c	797.73$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.52	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	23c	751.86$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.25	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Under	22c	717.79$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.2	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+6.9wins	+0.15per pick	36cpaid	+49%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	29c	702.66$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.77	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14d9…7ebdbacked Over	73c	678.79$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.27	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Over	80c	677.46$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.49	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x720a…6869backed Over	79c	665.94$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.85	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	79c	621.32$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.48	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	21c	520.21$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.81	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over	73c	502.6$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.13	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under	19c	500.99$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.19	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	320	42.2%135 W · 185 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	652	53.8%351 W · 301 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Under	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	228	35.5%81 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed Under	27c	499.99$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	19c	499.98$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over	78c	499.74$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.94	303	45.2%137 W · 166 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x963a…b8fbbacked Over	79c	496$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.16	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ed…7f4bbacked Over	73c	452.05$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.05	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.31per pick	56cpaid	+77.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Over	78c	384.62$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.62	181	50.3%91 W · 90 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…dd4cbacked Over	79c	379.75$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.75	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	24c	348.42$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.62	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under	27c	299.99$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	301	37.2%112 W · 189 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	74c	286$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.36	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Over	76c	263.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.16	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…808abacked Over	79c	252.85$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.85	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Over	79c	252.38$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	21c	230.64$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.89	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5c…0b0dbacked Under	31c	228.49$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	23c	228$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.44	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	20c	201.43$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.3	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	24c	199.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Over	79c	189.87$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.87	285	35.8%102 W · 183 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Over	79c	173.44$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.42	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under	20c	159.42$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.88	465	46.7%217 W · 248 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	277	50.9%141 W · 136 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Over	80c	139.66$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.93	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…8814backed Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	83	41%34 W · 49 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19cb…dc1ebacked Over	80c	136.86$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.37	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	75cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	241	62.2%150 W · 91 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa11…f753backed Over	79c	124.05$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.05	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-63%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under	27c	116.87$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.97	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	+14.2wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+89.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b7b…d8cebacked Over	74c	108.58$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.23	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-5.0wins	-0.19per pick	54cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under	18c	107.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.16	321	58.3%187 W · 134 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	80c	107.02$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.83	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd309…a8ebbacked Under	22c	101.37$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	236	65.3%154 W · 82 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Under	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	161	49.7%80 W · 81 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca4…5987backed Under	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Over	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under	24c	99.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	208	41.3%86 W · 122 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Under	32c	94.53$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.25	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	79c	91.56$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.77	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95c…1b63backed Over	76c	82.63$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.83	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.25per pick	60cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…e7c4backed Over	79c	78.48$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.48	45	71.1%32 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	21c	78.35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.11	632	55.7%352 W · 280 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	74c	69$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.01	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under	21c	68.38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	247	59.1%146 W · 101 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Under	21c	66$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	330	59.1%195 W · 135 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c2b…6f05backed Over	79c	63.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	64	78.1%50 W · 14 L	+10.7wins	+0.17per pick	61cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe64e…aa99backed Over	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	69cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x535a…126bbacked Over	79c	62.03$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.03	41	70.7%29 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ba…5b5ebacked Under	20c	60$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	21c	56.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	481	54.9%264 W · 217 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5this page
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event