Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3764e8007e894ae9beb9ff524f45d0d1ca7fe50f37a0a4c5d5fc6aef2ebcb2d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $490,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $635,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 162,200$49,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,198.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 70c | 130,756$91,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,585.46 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 69c | 55,678$38,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,029.76 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Over | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.98 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 30c | 10,351$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.22 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 30c | 10,325$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.88 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 2c | 9,524$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.05 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 2c | 9,175$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Over | 67c | 7,878$5,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.79 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 30c | 7,419$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.35 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 31c | 5,948$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.75 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Under | 30c | 5,555$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 70c | 4,989$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.78 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Under | 37c | 4,930$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.98 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 29c | 3,461$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.69 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 71c | 3,059$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.16 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 2,706$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.86 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 30c | 2,590$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.71 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 30c | 2,500$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.22 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Over | 70c | 2,286$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.71 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 30c | 2,093$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.53 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…792fbacked Under | 32c | 2,021$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 3c | 1,875$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 69c | 1,779$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.49 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 71c | 1,733$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.59 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 66c | 1,698$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.86 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Under | 36c | 1,677$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.78 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Under | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 14c | 1,596$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.29 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Under | 37c | 1,530$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.1 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 1c | 1,518$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Under | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.87 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 70c | 1,486$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.56 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 31c | 1,358$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.24 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 31c | 1,243$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.58 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfd…fb46backed Over | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Over | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Over | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 30c | 1,018$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.99 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Over | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Under | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…74eabacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 70c | 853.94$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.84 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…f2ecbacked Under | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 71c | 823.73$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 38.7%55 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 66c | 701.14$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.19 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…f538backed Under | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 427 | 55.5%237 W · 190 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 31c | 604.01$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 66c | 586.95$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.46 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 30c | 566.01$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 69c | 535.03$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…577ebacked Under | 3c | 533.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 30c | 518.5$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 27.5%49 W · 129 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 67c | 457.9$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.62 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 71c | 408.45$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Over | 70c | 402.86$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 30c | 401.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Over | 71c | 394.37$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 30c | 379.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 30c | 379.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 30c | 379.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 30c | 379.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 320 | 55.9%179 W · 141 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 30c | 379.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 234 | 49.1%115 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 53.8%351 W · 301 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Under | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 30c | 322.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Over | 66c | 300.92$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Under | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Under | 31c | 286$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 134 | 38.1%51 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3c8abacked Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Under | 32c | 281.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…110ebacked Under | 32c | 277.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 276.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Over | 71c | 262.59$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 31c | 233.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…cb2dbacked Under | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 34c | 211.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Under | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 184 | 31.5%58 W · 126 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 7c | 196.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 36c | 194.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 30c | 169.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 63c | 164.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Under | 31c | 154.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.