TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$490,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$635,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c162,200$49,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,198.284,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over70c130,756$91,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,585.4622139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over69c55,678$38,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,029.7629740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9825844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under30c10,351$3,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.221,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under30c10,325$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.882,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under2c9,524$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under2c9,175$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.91,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over67c7,878$5,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.792853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under30c7,419$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.351,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under31c5,948$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.7515950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Under30c5,555$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over70c4,989$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.7840655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under37c4,930$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.989440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under29c3,461$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.6970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over71c3,059$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.162,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c2,706$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.863,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under30c2,590$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.711,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under30c2,500$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.223,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over71c2,500$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7251,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over70c2,286$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.7121044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under30c2,093$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.531,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under32c2,021$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.82751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under3c1,875$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over69c1,779$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.495242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over71c1,733$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over66c1,698$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.8635244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under36c1,677$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.788743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dae…fff9backed Under31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under14c1,596$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.2944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Under37c1,530$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.17143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c1,518$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1838819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Under30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.8710340.8%42 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over70c1,486$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.562,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under31c1,358$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.241,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under31c1,243$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.582,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Over70c1,143$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.867444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over70c1,143$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8633245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over70c1,143$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8636543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under30c1,018$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.993,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over70c853.94$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e4…f2ecbacked Under30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over71c823.73$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8828258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2314568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over66c701.14$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.1971939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042755.5%237 W · 190 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005356.6%30 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under31c604.01$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over66c586.95$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.461,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under30c566.01$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.973,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over69c535.03$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4929558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…577ebacked Under3c533.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.948212.2%10 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-60.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c518.5$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.621,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over67c457.9$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62f0…0171backed Over71c408.45$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.452272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over70c402.86$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8622355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under30c401.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3215855.7%88 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12488852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over71c394.37$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3719939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under30c379.27$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7820156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under30c379.27$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7815151%77 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under30c379.27$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7811554.8%63 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under30c379.27$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7832055.9%179 W · 141 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under30c379.27$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7823449.1%115 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Under30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Under30c322.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6110251%52 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over66c300.92$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.312663.5%80 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Under8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24287.1%2 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Under31c286$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6613438.1%51 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59c6…3c8abacked Over71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.696043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b42…dc6dbacked Under32c281.25$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011233.9%38 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ab…110ebacked Under32c277.97$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.953212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c276.87$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.633,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Over71c262.59$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.155352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Under4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under30c240$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7223732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under31c233.3$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.211,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf277…cb2dbacked Under32c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under34c211.54$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6421050%105 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Over71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4818431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7432642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Over69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6214043.6%61 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under7c196.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under36c194.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9637650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Under30c169.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.268032.5%26 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over63c164.11$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6633438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Under31c154.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8616449.4%81 W · 83 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.