United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3513b8c14519284df13b8780cf3916513fe867c368a3b291eb0fd60fd32ca8b0

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,470 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbb29…947abacked No	71c	8,350$5,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,422.99	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked No	73c	6,480$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,779.51	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	8c	4,207$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.98	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	70c	3,768$2,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.38	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	29c	3,000$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870	304	31.3%95 W · 209 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes	28c	3,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	13c	2,629$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.72	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	24c	2,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fe…688abacked Yes	29c	1,731$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	78c	1,640$1,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.55	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Yes	30c	1,330$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	71c	965.96$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.13	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9a…2a64backed Yes	26c	881.83$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.85	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd21…ae2fbacked Yes	13c	794.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	71c	636.5$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.86	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	13c	633.36$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.9	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d4…a063backed No	72c	551.75$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.75	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	70c	473.97$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.57	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked No	71c	400$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	147	45.6%67 W · 80 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No	70c	386.9$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.07	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	70c	371.8$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.54	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	70c	356.27$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.88	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	70c	356.05$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.62	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	71c	351.84$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.92	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ee…07f3backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc43f…3678backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-5.2wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes	30c	337.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	100	38%38 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Yes	30c	333$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	270	28.9%78 W · 192 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Yes	6c	299.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	180	28.3%51 W · 129 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	15c	281.19$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.45	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	73c	250.43$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.62	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa5…05bbbacked No	71c	241$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.89	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19fe…3f6fbacked Yes	29c	238.68$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd744…9f71backed Yes	30c	234.03$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.21	58	36.2%21 W · 37 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb379…1a28backed Yes	30c	221.82$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.55	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Yes	29c	220$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.8	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe7c…7334backed Yes	28c	212.79$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Yes	27c	203.93$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	83	41%34 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	27c	196.98$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.69	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbe…8807backed Yes	26c	188$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.4	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes	30c	174$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.2	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…39bbbacked Yes	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-4.3wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x243a…ddb9backed Yes	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	50%41 W · 41 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f3…ae3bbacked Yes	9c	168.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22dd…f520backed Yes	29c	167.17$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.48	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aab…c911backed Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-6.3wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	295	29.8%88 W · 207 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a28…b9afbacked Yes	30c	144.7$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.41	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b76…e631backed No	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x903d…84a1backed Yes	29c	139.76$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes	29c	137.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	756	30.4%230 W · 526 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf726…9565backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…7849backed Yes	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Yes	29c	103.44$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	239	43.5%104 W · 135 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ef…f1dcbacked No	79c	101.27$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.27	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa504…c842backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	228	35.5%81 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2435…8903backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No	71c	99.99$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e3…3efdbacked Yes	29c	96.55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	41	22%9 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	24c	95.88$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.36	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No	70c	91.87$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.12	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No	72c	90$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed No	67c	86.21$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.45	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes	29c	86.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	133	28.6%38 W · 95 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Yes	29c	86.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Yes	29c	86.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+13.0wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x69e3…126cbacked No	72c	83.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.33	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes	29c	82.76$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	144	25.7%37 W · 107 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No	73c	78.96$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.32	381	55.4%211 W · 170 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…f304backed Yes	32c	78.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	56	60.7%34 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Yes	26c	77.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	296	39.5%117 W · 179 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa22d…3f00backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa16a…57d5backed No	71c	70.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5c…0b0dbacked Yes	29c	70$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5c…46c3backed Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1edd…4005backed Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.28per pick	36cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5842…5ab8backed Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	181	50.8%92 W · 89 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01dc…abb3backed Yes	29c	67.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8158…0fe3backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbc…2599backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-42%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e0…89e4backed Yes	29c	65$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x408a…41a2backed No	72c	55.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f4…9efdbacked Yes	29c	51.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b21…b8debacked Yes	29c	51.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	89	12.4%11 W · 78 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes	29c	51.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.9	68	26.5%18 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d3f…356bbacked Yes	29c	50.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bf…4e4abacked Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf19b…bf9fbacked Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e19…270abacked Yes	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	251	38.6%97 W · 154 L	-16.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes	27c	48.51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed No	76c	47.62$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.43	172	29.1%50 W · 122 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ceb…ff5dbacked Yes	30c	46.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x633f…48c7backed Yes	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…9410backed No	78c	38.59$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.59	60	61.7%37 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c09…9dc9backed Yes	30c	36.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.94	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked No	70c	30.04$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.03	209	68.4%143 W · 66 L	+21.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x28ca…a1bbbacked No	71c	29.58$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.58	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…19a4backed No	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked No	70c	26.29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.89	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?this page
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event