TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,002,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,150,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,002,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed No36c279,041$100,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,454.765334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No34c271,941$93,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,491.0856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes64c197,527$126,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,109.6321343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d18…24a6backed Yes64c150,000$96,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,0002466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c125,216$45,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,518.134,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes66c113,644$75,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,461.42,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes64c87,238$55,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,658.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No35c66,446$23,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,492.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No34c62,700$21,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,088.431,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes62c54,255$33,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,616.923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes63c53,306$33,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,587.431,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No36c40,810$14,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,663.419252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No37c39,400$14,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,642.8214139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes77c38,781$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,780.6632429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes62c32,036$19,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,103.322,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed No36c30,581$11,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,110.925240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Yes60c30,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,999.995263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No28c29,582$8,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,201.929740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed No30c28,986$8,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,695.789525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No38c28,000$10,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,639.9814553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c26,737$8,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,979.723,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes64c26,623$17,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,584.2813959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd2…31f4backed No36c25,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes66c23,484$15,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,018.6766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed No36c22,999$8,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,349.5810653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes64c19,998$12,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.2817452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Yes62c19,337$11,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,348.12334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked No36c19,231$6,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,922.9912616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes64c16,000$10,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7607153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes64c15,625$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,62510959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes63c15,625$9,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,781.238258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66d5…9e9fbacked No36c15,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.973748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No37c14,352$5,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,247.591,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No18c12,852$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.51,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No38c12,000$4,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,543.5429646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes61c11,749$7,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,567.0313746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4037…143bbacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.91,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No36c9,567$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,448.1729952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes61c9,500$5,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70523949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No37c9,000$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330.0940655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No36c8,333$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.8622451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No38c8,230$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.9716244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No36c8,216$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990.71,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes70c8,024$5,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.752,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes61c8,000$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1208932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes64c7,813$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.56526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No36c7,802$2,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,808.5532031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe666…713abacked Yes65c7,692$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.311650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed No39c7,630$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.7517550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes64c7,589$4,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.066317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No36c6,422$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.928139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe2…2957backed Yes64c6,398$4,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.425750.9%29 W · 28 L+9.4wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+32.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No36c6,364$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.046645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes64c6,269$4,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25721836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed No28c6,013$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.622948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes70c5,690$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.3918056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No36c5,490$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.548048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No36c5,227$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.041,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes64c5,180$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.7810057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No37c5,143$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.622,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes62c5,004$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.461,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Yes63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8505863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No37c4,945$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.812,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No36c4,944$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.9971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Yes62c4,856$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.413454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8a…b772backed Yes65c4,615$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.384757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes62c4,552$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.7236247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No36c4,500$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62016260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes62c4,444$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.7232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No11c4,374$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.3675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes64c4,273$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.6517747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes62c4,032$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.263751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Yes62c4,032$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.266154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No23c4,023$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.254,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked No36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.975646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes67c3,961$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.6620646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed No36c3,816$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.765242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda88…ff25backed No39c3,562$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3892065%13 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes73c3,560$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.794,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes64c3,500$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6242…841bbacked Yes71c3,447$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.1417735%62 W · 115 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No40c3,433$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.28938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes71c3,300$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94737944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.6925336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e0…47d7backed Yes64c3,198$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.424438.6%17 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be4…af85backed Yes63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1258052.5%42 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd476…f5d4backed Yes65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.922944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No28c3,070$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.592934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Yes75c3,062$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.5221738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes64c3,060$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.634252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598c…7f6cbacked Yes63c3,016$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8e…b226backed Yes63c3,016$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No37c3,001$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.3688838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Yes61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1701435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Yes62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08017747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.