Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21e7fe73ee6a50ca4f3933e3d68e570dfb168e04135bac9d01f94ea0691c9ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $992,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,204,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $992,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 68c | 270,485$183,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,041.91 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 33c | 172,761$56,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,109.81 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 86,251$56,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,253.29 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 56c | 64,406$36,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,108.62 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Over | 31c | 50,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,500 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Over | 33c | 45,000$14,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,150 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 38c | 44,731$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,531.39 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked Over | 32c | 33,150$10,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,651.38 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 68c | 29,305$19,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,927.28 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 35c | 21,093$7,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,710.52 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 66c | 18,422$12,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,130.49 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over | 26c | 18,000$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,257.56 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 52c | 15,675$8,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,207.52 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 34c | 15,320$5,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,157.58 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 33c | 14,766$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,941.99 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 65c | 12,838$8,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,397.5 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 11,732$7,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,677.96 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Over | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 35c | 7,224$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.88 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over | 34c | 6,176$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.47 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 67c | 5,470$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.14 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 33c | 5,401$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.07 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 74c | 5,233$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.42 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 65c | 5,208$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.46 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 57c | 4,270$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.8 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed Under | 53c | 4,092$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.16 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 43c | 4,010$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.54 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 3,747$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.45 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Under | 52c | 3,704$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.53 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…6789backed Under | 68c | 3,676$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 55c | 3,642$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.79 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 30c | 3,557$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.09 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 2c | 3,147$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 32c | 2,979$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.72 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 32c | 2,906$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.08 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…6cf3backed Over | 34c | 2,869$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.21 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 32c | 2,275$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.71 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c6…86b4backed Over | 57c | 2,057$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 33c | 2,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 66c | 1,941$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.98 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…884cbacked Under | 47c | 1,928$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 68c | 1,840$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.27 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 52c | 1,808$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.26 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Over | 33c | 1,792$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.62 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 1,752$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 52c | 1,590$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.02 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 68c | 1,495$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.87 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 48c | 1,433$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.33 | 276 | 55.1%152 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Over | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c6…b27bbacked Under | 51c | 1,373$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.51 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…1939backed Under | 10c | 1,350$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 1,315$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.43 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Over | 33c | 1,291$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.03 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 40c | 1,275$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Over | 33c | 1,171$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.26 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 62c | 1,130$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.52 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Over | 32c | 1,109$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.38 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…792fbacked Under | 69c | 1,099$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…75eebacked Over | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Under | 2c | 1,034$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…6e98backed Under | 2c | 1,029$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 66c | 1,024$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.84 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…2703backed Under | 66c | 1,001$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.54 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…74eabacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 66c | 994.28$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.66 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Under | 3c | 987.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfd…fb46backed Over | 33c | 903.77$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.51 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…cd44backed Under | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked Over | 33c | 848.48$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.48 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 50c | 840.9$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.72 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked Over | 35c | 828.57$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.57 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 42c | 799.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.33 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 743.1$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.24 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Over | 35c | 700.26$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.17 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Over | 33c | 699.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.99 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 32c | 684$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.73 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Over | 46c | 645.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.61 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 4c | 636$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over | 32c | 613$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.84 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…daa8backed Under | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 5c | 580$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 111 | 14.4%16 W · 95 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Under | 56c | 559.72$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.18 | 184 | 31.5%58 W · 126 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 53c | 559.15$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.35 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over | 31c | 511$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.59 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.