TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$992,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,204,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $992,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under68c270,485$183,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183,041.912774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over33c172,761$56,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,109.8118738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c86,251$56,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,253.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under56c64,406$36,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,108.6264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Over31c50,000$15,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,5008046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Over33c45,000$14,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,1508943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over38c44,731$17,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,531.392,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked Over32c33,150$10,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,651.386050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under68c29,305$19,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,927.2815950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over35c21,093$7,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,710.5229154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under66c18,422$12,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,130.4977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over26c18,000$4,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,257.568258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under52c15,675$8,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,207.5244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over34c15,320$5,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,157.582,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over33c14,766$4,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,941.9929740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under65c12,838$8,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,397.51,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under65c11,732$7,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,677.961,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over60c8,333$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.3316947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over35c7,224$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,695.8821029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over34c6,176$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,076.4715034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under67c5,470$3,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,655.141,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over33c5,401$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,631.072,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under74c5,233$3,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.4274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under65c5,208$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,385.4670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over31c5,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,45024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under57c4,270$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.82,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Under53c4,092$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.1610544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over43c4,010$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.542,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c3,747$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.453,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under52c3,704$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.539440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e37…6789backed Under68c3,676$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under55c3,642$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.7928229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over30c3,557$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.0913447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.8310949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under2c3,147$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4443737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Over32c2,979$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.728938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over32c2,906$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.0814445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over34c2,869$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.216930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over32c2,275$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.7197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c6…86b4backed Over57c2,057$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.954839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over33c2,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.991931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c1,941$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.982,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under47c1,928$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9925049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under68c1,840$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.271,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under52c1,808$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.2630054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over33c1,792$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.6221044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c1,752$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under52c1,590$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.0237650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under68c1,495$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.871,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over48c1,433$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.3327655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.5731728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under67c1,400$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93833149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under51c1,373$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.5119649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed Under10c1,350$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+107.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c1,315$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.434,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over33c1,291$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.0333245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under40c1,275$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Over48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6507146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over33c1,171$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.2636543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over62c1,130$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.5212763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over32c1,109$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3846223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under69c1,099$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.342751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c7…75eebacked Over33c1,061$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.611145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under2c1,034$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4522029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x354c…6e98backed Under2c1,029$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c1,024$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.841,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7a…2703backed Under66c1,001$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.545438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under66c994.28$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.663,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Under3c987.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Over33c903.77$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.517444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…cd44backed Under10c900$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+149.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked Over33c848.48$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.4810549.5%52 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under50c840.9$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.7223637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x219a…f65bbacked Over35c828.57$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.574829.2%14 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over31c806.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.459348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over42c799.96$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.3371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c743.1$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.242,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over35c700.26$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.1713736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over33c699.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.9927637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over32c684$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.731,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6735244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over46c645.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.6110537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under4c636$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.061,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over32c613$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.846139.3%24 W · 37 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae2b…daa8backed Under66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under5c580$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under56c559.72$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.1818431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under53c559.15$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.356728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over31c511$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5914655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.