TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Belgium (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
United Statesof Belgium, United States
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,359 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1fc9…01e1backed Belgium0c51,316$150 inLost-$15011020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Belgium4c9,788$399 inLost-$398.622,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Belgium1c9,764$98 inLost-$97.6471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Belgium1c8,417$75 inLost-$75.233,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Belgium1c6,205$75 inLost-$74.6136031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Belgium3c6,040$199 inLost-$199.091,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Belgium2c3,804$67 inLost-$66.8572722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Belgium2c3,150$57 inLost-$56.760511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Belgium3c2,528$86 inLost-$85.852,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Belgium3c1,897$55 inLost-$5514428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Belgium2c1,446$25 inLost-$257211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Belgium2c863.44$15 inLost-$14.8917919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Belgium2c735.29$12 inLost-$12.518028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Belgium7c714.29$50 inLost-$5024132.8%79 W · 162 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x840d…7c58backed Belgium2c619.77$12 inLost-$11.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4029…c8b3backed Belgium7c457.17$32 inLost-$325326.4%14 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb09…bd5dbacked Belgium7c428.86$30 inLost-$303630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Belgium8c346.04$28 inLost-$27.5673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Belgium8c300$24 inLost-$23.851,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Belgium8c300$24 inLost-$23.931,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182c…64d3backed Belgium7c290.43$20 inLost-$20.337215.3%11 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb84…4a20backed Belgium8c252$20 inLost-$203070%21 W · 9 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+63.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Belgium7c188.13$12 inLost-$12.3927227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Belgium7c168.77$11 inLost-$11.144,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Belgium8c141.8$11 inLost-$11.181,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.