United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x281958c54a688bfca19eb3e48bd3540df815549ccdac6d85016e5a6ca1493a68

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,857,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,919,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,857,555 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 953 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	57c	302,262$173,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173,259.68	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under	48c	285,154$136,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136,106.2	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	68cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under	72c	129,059$92,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92,756.75	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa235…34bbbacked Over	47c	110,000$51,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,299.99	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over	60c	100,000$59,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,010.32	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over	51c	82,610$42,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,316.61	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	59c	78,394$46,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,052.9	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	55c	60,648$33,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,362.77	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Over	17c	51,000$8,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,329.95	100	56%56 W · 44 L	+11.6wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under	41c	50,000$20,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,499.97	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	48c	49,952$23,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,977.16	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x171b…5179backed Over	70c	49,943$35,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,942.84	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	47c	48,037$22,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,653.91	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Over	17c	45,000$7,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,349.96	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	53c	35,975$19,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,769.17	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	25c	35,273$8,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,416.83	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Over	49c	32,000$15,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,279.99	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under	34c	27,119$9,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,135.36	233	53.2%124 W · 109 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	28c	26,427$7,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,992.01	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed Under	49c	25,000$12,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,250	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9192…deb7backed Under	41c	25,000$10,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,249.99	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under	59c	23,594$13,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,920.72	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	54c	21,229$11,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,499.88	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under	50c	20,667$10,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,391.64	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Over	50c	20,400$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,200.18	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under	51c	19,565$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	14c	19,009$2,754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,255	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Under	48c	18,127$8,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,701.16	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	61cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	61c	17,838$10,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,982.56	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	45c	17,835$7,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,841.99	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Over	52c	17,065$8,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,272.06	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Under	47c	16,054$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500.03	105	44.8%47 W · 58 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over	52c	15,000$7,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,200	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under	44c	15,000$6,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,550	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over	67c	14,925$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,925.37	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under	71c	12,658$8,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,972.29	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	51c	12,478$6,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,345.75	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over	55c	11,700$6,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,214.99	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under	63c	11,582$7,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,271.9	201	50.7%102 W · 99 L	+11.3wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	60c	10,555$6,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,244.79	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x853c…d32cbacked Over	58c	10,500$6,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,410	147	37.4%55 W · 92 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over	22c	10,177$2,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,918.32	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under	53c	10,119$5,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,363.82	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Over	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,803.92	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over	52c	9,766$5,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,719.93	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	16c	8,785$1,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,415.96	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	15c	8,233$1,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,998.22	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	62c	8,110$5,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,018.75	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6cd…286bbacked Under	6c	7,936$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.99	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under	33c	7,500$2,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,475	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	45c	7,488$3,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,104.54	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under	51c	7,195$3,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,669.39	167	55.1%92 W · 75 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	61c	7,053$4,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,735.04	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under	74c	7,000$5,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,210	58	63.8%37 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Over	50c	7,000$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,500	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	39c	6,889$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,188.47	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under	48c	6,666$3,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,233	143	25.2%36 W · 107 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Over	52c	6,130$3,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,942.4	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	48c	6,043$2,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,909.14	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over	42c	6,000$2,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,479.98	234	27.8%65 W · 169 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over	51c	5,910$3,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,896.06	227	49.3%112 W · 115 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under	53c	5,825$3,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,105.99	259	42.1%109 W · 150 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	24c	5,646$1,381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,264.89	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	56c	5,620$3,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,142.07	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over	60c	5,620$3,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,274.34	86	72.1%62 W · 24 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	14c	5,471$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,722.94	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over	72c	5,326$3,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,491.29	134	54.5%73 W · 61 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over	58c	5,304$3,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,235.96	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under	39c	5,299$2,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,065.77	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over	22c	5,205$1,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,051.95	348	45.1%157 W · 191 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under	44c	5,201$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f2c…6998backed Under	67c	5,093$3,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,433.04	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over	36c	5,043$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,242.96	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	372	42.5%158 W · 214 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over	17c	5,000$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,149.98	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed Under	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+7.8wins	+0.29per pick	16cpaid	+153.3%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	26c	4,747$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,525.65	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	31c	4,678$1,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,237.68	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under	12c	4,661$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Under	61c	4,577$2,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,791.13	112	27.7%31 W · 81 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under	31c	4,520$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.98	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	54c	4,519$2,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,420.3	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	22c	4,515$981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,533.95	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb962…45febacked Over	56c	4,355$2,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,906.16	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over	72c	4,078$2,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,135.53	347	31.1%108 W · 239 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over	17c	3,998$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,317.96	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over	62c	3,877$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,477.01	216	41.7%90 W · 126 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Under	33c	3,850$1,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.58	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Under	1c	3,849$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.49	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Over	18c	3,785$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,117.2	142	50%71 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over	22c	3,668$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,861.32	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over	61c	3,624$2,224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400.61	253	39.5%100 W · 153 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	14c	3,556$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,041.92	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over	62c	3,544$2,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333.88	238	57.6%137 W · 101 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0aae…251cbacked Over	68c	3,500$2,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over	74c	3,428$2,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.37	251	25.1%63 W · 188 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under	62c	3,367$2,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,097.22	196	49.5%97 W · 99 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8f…3ce9backed Under	18c	3,304$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+4.9wins	+0.20per pick	17cpaid	+115.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over	67c	3,303$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.44	243	41.2%100 W · 143 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5this page
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event