TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,693 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under45c718.96$322 inLost-$321.791,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f3…3ca0backed Over55c665.45$366 inWon+$299.454944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7af6…3d64backed Under51c610$311 inLost-$311.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed85…fbd6backed Over49c610$299 inWon+$311.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over62c327.8$204 inWon+$124.048,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f26…c697backed Under37c235.08$87 inLost-$86.983145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under37c203.32$75 inLost-$75.2353448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21af…e761backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon+$58.735650%28 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under38c118.97$45 inLost-$44.612,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…bbdabacked Over61c111.42$68 inWon+$43.681241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Over62c100$62 inWon+$385026%13 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under39c87.93$34 inLost-$34.422,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over70c58.12$41 inWon+$17.539168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over63c52.38$33 inWon+$19.3816344.2%72 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…126cbacked Over63c49.21$31 inWon+$18.213268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under38c36.42$14 inLost-$13.842,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over51c20$10 inWon+$9.91,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…f54abacked Over62c17.74$11 inWon+$6.7412955.8%72 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.