TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$454,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$504,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under20c85,025$17,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,004.9833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under8c54,879$4,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,472.033,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under7c19,378$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.74,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under6c15,550$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.011,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under8c13,367$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.483,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Under23c12,445$2,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.889525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Under19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9008258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…f868backed Over80c6,208$4,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.525662.5%35 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under19c5,943$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.671,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Under10c5,800$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58010251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c11…bd90backed Over80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008053.8%43 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under8c4,722$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under8c3,979$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3311637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under18c3,588$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.8220731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under16c3,528$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b42…cac8backed Under1c3,443$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+108.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under19c2,604$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.72,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over80c2,596$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.9610756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c2,482$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.641375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under18c2,226$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.61,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under13c2,217$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.052,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Over79c2,206$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.1723240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under8c2,112$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3935719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Under15c1,896$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9821738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under13c1,624$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8430137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.991,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under9c1,434$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.421937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under8c1,375$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under7c1,243$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.142,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1db…c0afbacked Over80c1,236$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.213961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13b…5f1abacked Under9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under18c1,105$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Under22c1,001$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.222650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Over78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22020049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…c6edbacked Under21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under18c999.93$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9919224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under21c707.88$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.651,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Under21c690.48$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459466%62 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under13c680$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.829450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under8c655.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4243737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under6c604$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under18c554.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa86f…6ad4backed Under21c545.71$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.63122.6%7 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over80c538$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.627254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb09…bd5dbacked Under19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f43…e4aebacked Under19c503.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.78118.5%15 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over79c503.14$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6643139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Over78c499.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11017040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79b…1a3ebacked Over80c474.21$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.842317.4%4 W · 19 L-7.3wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-74.3%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under5c456.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6671939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571e…4357backed Over80c454.18$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.84966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7528224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under5c374.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7245145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed Under9c350$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54450%22 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under16c336.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0430039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993c…2aecbacked Under9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305616.1%9 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under9c320$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.721846.8%102 W · 116 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacce…9ffdbacked Over80c308.29$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.66560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under20c305.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6732042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under6c303$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1824540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb36…ff34backed Over77c290$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.71963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Under19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508236.6%30 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf639…2608backed Over78c260$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.21764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7621…944bbacked Over79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.165570.9%39 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5028535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under11c247.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.742,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde76…fa35backed Over80c228$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick74cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc431…53ffbacked Under9c223.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under5c220$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764a…9175backed Under21c214.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454427.3%12 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x065c…47debacked Under20c201.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.264566.7%30 W · 15 L+8.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+56.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7509…1cd2backed Under8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167418.9%14 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc6…fb06backed Over79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429945.5%45 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2618431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9748…228cbacked Under7c188.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5819454.1%105 W · 89 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Over80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.512661.9%78 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under6c172.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3725643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa59…d4cebacked Under7c163.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4711741.9%49 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04f…5556backed Over80c156.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.33275%24 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under19c153$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8232837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…c24ebacked Under20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013125.2%33 W · 98 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x856d…c13bbacked Under23c146$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.581758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ef…6037backed Under23c144$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.121656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over80c137.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.592,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d1…6da3backed Under23c135$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.051844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1c…015abacked Under22c135$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fff…89e9backed Over77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.97350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under20c129.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.592,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c90…a7ecbacked Under22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.