TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c43,250$25,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,432.544,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c24,882$11,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,123.432,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c12,071$5,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,531.582,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c9,104$4,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,774.224,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under41c7,034$2,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,848.7846546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c6,604$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.993,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over58c5,748$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.7425336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c4,180$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over19c3,624$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.891,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over32c3,000$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.811042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Over61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1705545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under36c2,793$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.391,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over17c2,793$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.851,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under41c2,300$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94317747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under39c2,171$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.019752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Over61c2,136$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.387146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c2,115$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.592,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over59c2,096$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.3649441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over61c1,644$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.711545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b70…65a0backed Over30c1,625$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.452015%3 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4621443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over18c1,500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under49c1,327$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.362,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90da…b7e0backed Under1c1,259$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed Over64c1,246$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.957959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over65c1,227$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c1,226$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.433,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda46…e6e3backed Over33c1,221$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.565135.3%18 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under4c1,220$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.062,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under32c1,211$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.432,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over18c1,195$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.7610532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over33c1,127$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.171,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb68a…ce1fbacked Over63c1,063$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.136456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Under68c999.99$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9912227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over15c999.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Over56c999.97$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.996958%40 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over28c910.18$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.22,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Over33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.092227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2516750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over17c740.33$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9772722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Over65c729.25$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.2416250%81 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over67c706.99$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3329558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Under7c699.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48287.1%2 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dad…1d41backed Over31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.164163.4%26 W · 15 L+9.8wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+70.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x59ee…6150backed Over33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.065024%12 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over24c600.38$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.3815650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4681…dbecbacked Over18c583.28$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.293112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.5628646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under14c552.66$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.796235.5%22 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+119.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Over18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41041231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018150.3%91 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under25c500$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over17c481.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.633,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over51c450$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over59c448.17$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7523558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over73c437.53$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.971,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf029…a292backed Over60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.679942.4%42 W · 57 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over32c373$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.141,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over61c360.66$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6610549.5%52 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over33c342.45$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4418827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked Under36c334.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.352040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under9c332.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.731,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c318$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.142,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a76…8490backed Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4613035.4%46 W · 84 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over16c312.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.559635.4%34 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under52c305.17$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3972247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over66c287.17$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.671,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over18c277.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.788037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51bf…d7a5backed Under49c271.59$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.331984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.6wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+51.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe6dc…b355backed Over61c270.03$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.311656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over64c262$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.621,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over18c255$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.151315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under42c254.09$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.816946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under62c250.83$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.61,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under35c243.07$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.12,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f26…c697backed Over59c234.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.343145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over18c222.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2216747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under50c218.75$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over27c200.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.523517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c4d…b0edbacked Over61c180.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.338422.6%19 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over75c177$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over66c172.73$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.739055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…31ecbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417638.2%29 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bb…69b8backed Over64c166.16$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.827048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ad…0a96backed Over30c164.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.513237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7db…d23abacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.937050%35 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4f…0f0dbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e3…2819backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.257237.5%27 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e36…c5f8backed Over60c147.88$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.154259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Over59c147.46$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.462552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over52c144.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7246562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over18c143$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5732837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Under68c142.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6345740.3%184 W · 273 L-28.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under68c140.59$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.031,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under12c140.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x935e…9132backed Over62c128.41$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.415853.4%31 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.82941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under12c119.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3745145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over17c118.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.881,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.