TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x27f3…31ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7638.2%29 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+624.6%+$3,123.19
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,126.78
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$2,687.2
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$115.88
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$296.99
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$773.73
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.05
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+670%+$67
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.91
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$4,127.15
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.19
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$828.77
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+713.5%+$214.06
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+58.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+216.7%+$260.05
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$81.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+139.6%+$27.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.