MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc6f59dede385d57d3b95df6abf163bb6681a2261f6e108370ee5291e690a384
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Washington Nationals, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 36,446$23,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,691.77 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 33,066$18,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,879.7 | 928 | 54%501 W · 427 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,499.99 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 13,888$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,110.5 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 11,847$7,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.72 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 8,977$3,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818.07 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 8,863$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.95 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 8,543$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.88 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 7,777$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.88 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.13 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 5,491$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.52 | 980 | 45%441 W · 539 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 5,100$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 5,014$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.04 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,083 | 48.1%521 W · 562 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 4,602$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.68 | 630 | 43.3%273 W · 357 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 4,555$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.66 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…cc23backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 3,783$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.01 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 3,461$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.7 | 904 | 53.5%484 W · 420 L | +24.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 2,931$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.46 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 2,685$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.82 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,112$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.41 | 388 | 33.8%131 W · 257 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 2,004$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.37 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,713$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.34 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,575$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.57 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,515$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.01 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,278$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.2 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,247$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.37 | 2,064 | 39.2%810 W · 1,254 L | -29.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,045$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.12 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 1,010$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 718 | 53.3%383 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,849 | 50.7%937 W · 912 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 999.87$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.94 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 971.96$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.89 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 800$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 1,423 | 43.6%620 W · 803 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 755.37$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.9 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 747.98$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.99 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Washington Nationals | 27c | 684.14$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 5,848 | 43.7%2,556 W · 3,292 L | -189.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 676$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 671.23$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.28 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 615.48$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.84 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 567.04$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.84 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 555.59$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 549.72$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.15 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 541.06$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.47 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…6b74backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 500.62$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Washington Nationals | 23c | 499.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 454.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1,144 | 46.3%530 W · 614 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…f04bbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…bb32backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 428.4$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 426.75$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 901 | 46.3%417 W · 484 L | +25.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 420$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 1,331 | 44.1%587 W · 744 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Washington Nationals | 23c | 400.69$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 399.94$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 390.02$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 3,465 | 51.2%1,774 W · 1,691 L | +105.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 386.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1,150 | 31.7%365 W · 785 L | -95.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 384.61$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 360.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 360$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 1,298 | 43.6%566 W · 732 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 355.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 966 | 48.9%472 W · 494 L | -40.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 348.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Washington Nationals | 6c | 347.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 340$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 1,226 | 43.6%534 W · 692 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 308.07$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 595 | 52.6%313 W · 282 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 298.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 293.02$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 262.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 2,191 | 40%876 W · 1,315 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 244.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 2,319 | 51.1%1,184 W · 1,135 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 234.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 2,150 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,071 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 226.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 215$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 923 | 50.1%462 W · 461 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 212$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 209.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 203.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 198.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 180$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 673 | 43.4%292 W · 381 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 176.72$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 173.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 169$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 4,107 | 57.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L | +65.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…360cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 157.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…81c7backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…31ecbacked Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 151.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…c8d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 148.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 136.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 130.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 596 | 43.1%257 W · 339 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 127.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 961 | 55.2%530 W · 431 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 119$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.