Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a2a047737ea09bfdba10dba2aa83cca4bb0641518d914a06572cd93480ef21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbe5…38c2backed Yes | 5c | 5,444$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…4d48backed Yes | 6c | 5,388$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,064.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 3,000$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.11 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…31ecbacked Yes | 32c | 380.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 360.31$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 35c | 165.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 65c | 135.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 13c | 131.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 27c | 112.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 86.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 20c | 84.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 50c | 82.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 45c | 45.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.