Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e4a6f3cdde0db6461dbaba6a84f8a9b78de79efd62ace6ce496da9ca84e758d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 2,279$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.44 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 62c | 2,100$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.92 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 11c | 1,800$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.18 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 17c | 748$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 27c | 400.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 294$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 5c | 269.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 16c | 255.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 49c | 171.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 61c | 132.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 15c | 119.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 34c | 87.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 75c | 63.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Yes | 58c | 51.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…0cd1backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked No | 76c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.