TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$669,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$769,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies52c91,110$47,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,002.3344851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers38c48,773$18,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,437.564,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies56c30,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,199.9877053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Detroit Tigers45c26,641$11,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,869.671850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Philadelphia Phillies52c25,761$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,261.3361351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies55c22,058$12,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,874.163,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers11c17,769$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.344,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Detroit Tigers44c17,675$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Detroit Tigers24c14,545$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,490.0595045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Detroit Tigers7c13,820$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.531,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Detroit Tigers6c13,616$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.31,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies55c11,364$6,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,113.632,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Philadelphia Phillies56c11,000$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,839.968950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Detroit Tigers46c10,052$4,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,624.086844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Detroit Tigers6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Philadelphia Phillies57c7,326$4,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,151.873351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Detroit Tigers44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Detroit Tigers45c6,222$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies79c6,107$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.418,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies56c5,312$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.85,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Detroit Tigers13c5,110$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.5711548.7%56 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers20c4,724$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.386,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers20c4,708$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.588,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Detroit Tigers44c4,496$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.251545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies56c4,154$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.484,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies59c3,886$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.351,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Detroit Tigers9c3,772$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.794261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers44c3,764$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.742,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Detroit Tigers0c3,642$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.428762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Philadelphia Phillies54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies55c2,962$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.992054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Philadelphia Phillies56c2,925$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.651,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies76c2,823$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.0912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Detroit Tigers44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Detroit Tigers11c2,072$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4282636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed Detroit Tigers14c2,056$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies60c1,951$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.3898149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Detroit Tigers14c1,879$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.0279442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Philadelphia Phillies54c1,473$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.777647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Detroit Tigers1c1,450$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Detroit Tigers7c1,376$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1740554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Detroit Tigers44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Detroit Tigers12c1,315$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.641,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Detroit Tigers49c1,282$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.1391252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Philadelphia Phillies54c1,238$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.5769351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Detroit Tigers31c1,229$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.771,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies55c1,229$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.752,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ec…3b76backed Detroit Tigers44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Detroit Tigers8c1,114$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8158649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Detroit Tigers22c1,052$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.4797050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies57c1,046$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.7855653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies55c1,024$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43027552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers24c948.35$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.659,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c2…c7e6backed Philadelphia Phillies78c899.61$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Philadelphia Phillies54c847.79$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9847652.9%252 W · 224 L+17.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers35c807.09$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.338,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Detroit Tigers45c689.98$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.991,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers23c687.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.565,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Philadelphia Phillies55c640$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28829449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers10c636.86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.124,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Detroit Tigers8c620.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.241,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Detroit Tigers8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810636.8%39 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Detroit Tigers13c591.77$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9312956.6%73 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Detroit Tigers33c589.67$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5921146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Detroit Tigers45c586.66$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26494549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies56c571$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.241,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Detroit Tigers44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers44c566.08$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.976,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Philadelphia Phillies68c557.43$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0243459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Detroit Tigers45c550$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.51,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Philadelphia Phillies69c541$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4435668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288d…053abacked Detroit Tigers10c523.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505228.8%15 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b59…dd43backed Detroit Tigers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22530647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Detroit Tigers22c491.92$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.841,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1b5…7e9abacked Detroit Tigers45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006946.4%32 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd23e…e4a3backed Detroit Tigers45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011750.4%59 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Detroit Tigers6c438.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.299147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Detroit Tigers35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Detroit Tigers44c403.13$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4829752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies54c389$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.941,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Detroit Tigers9c385$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.651,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers39c380.36$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.853,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Detroit Tigers28c370.59$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5411150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Detroit Tigers24c370.43$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0773949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies80c346.15$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.325,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Detroit Tigers45c297.78$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Detroit Tigers45c290$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.31,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Detroit Tigers45c290$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.31,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Detroit Tigers45c288.89$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13054455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd82…9f66backed Detroit Tigers7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015937.7%60 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Detroit Tigers36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028045.7%128 W · 152 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Detroit Tigers23c270.32$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.944,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers9c270.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.313,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Philadelphia Phillies57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1652947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Detroit Tigers45c260$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.81,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Detroit Tigers28c258.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.131,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Philadelphia Phillies70c248.87$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.488046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Philadelphia Phillies57c245.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6121033.3%70 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.