TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under53c44,444$23,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,888.641,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over52c28,707$14,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,910.446949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Over48c20,297$9,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,757.718943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under48c14,791$7,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,691.0671650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c12,685$5,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,961.764,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c10,150$4,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,721.6611,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under48c8,437$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,387.243,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.984,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c1,952$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.776,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under48c1,712$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.6851545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over49c1,671$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.1686653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae1…fdc1backed Over59c1,664$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.762142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under62c1,628$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.724,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under47c1,495$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.211,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over53c1,396$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.847353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under48c1,125$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5858,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over53c1,085$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.662,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c1,076$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.1910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c1,024$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.242,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c1,000$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51529752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over41c949.03$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.488,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009062.2%56 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under50c780$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.91,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c635$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.451,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over53c496.13$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9561450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c406.56$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.782,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020350.2%102 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under62c333.47$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.723,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under50c307.97$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0556851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over48c305.03$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8629549.8%147 W · 148 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under50c297$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.491,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Over58c259.98$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.793256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c250$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.255,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4281257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over49c198.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1897050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over54c191.45$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3828154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under46c182.22$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.467453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.61,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over56c173.2$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.992748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over47c170.51$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1457548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Under49c157$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0726444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under63c145.11$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.158649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed Over47c132.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4124547.3%116 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over47c132.63$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3441346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over49c120.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c85…9634backed Over51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.211956.3%67 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Under47c117$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5314751.7%76 W · 71 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under46c116.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0239948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under47c114.28$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5719542.6%83 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over48c101.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.442,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c97.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over49c94.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1473949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under52c93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6425648%123 W · 133 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…7a09backed Under59c82.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.154542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c81.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.149,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.473849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7852852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over58c79.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.453950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under51c77.27$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.951,80353.8%970 W · 833 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Over40c72.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9210642.5%45 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Under48c69.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1219654.1%106 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Under49c68.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1868846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under52c63.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.473,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over55c58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6631848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under63c53.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.951,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under49c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.434255.3%189 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.539440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2616753.9%90 W · 77 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.538142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Over47c48.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320551.7%106 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under51c47.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.342,94447.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L+4.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6226753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a05…d9b6backed Under54c47.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.731060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over54c44.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.21,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Under54c43.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0514351.7%74 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2144347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over48c40.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under45c40.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.916,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb9…c8fabacked Over50c40.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over47c38.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2644648.7%217 W · 229 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over47c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4545045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under59c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.671,81349.1%891 W · 922 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Over44c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5212753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over47c32.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.411,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.968855.7%49 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Under63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7518751.9%97 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under49c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8139250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4513054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Under42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.42161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d57…8e0cbacked Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.75442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over48c29.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.392,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over53c28.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3317047.1%80 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9eb…75cebacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1405…9882backed Over47c28.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.258547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Under62c27.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6434639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.