MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf69f20bd0d98517d62c583ebab6f1d739f8b238fc65b390ea2852871e2de6051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 53,296$31,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,318.3 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 31,455$12,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,582 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 20c | 21,115$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.68 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 12,749$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.18 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 9,240$7,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.37 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 7,019$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.02 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 7,016$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 5,988$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.87 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 5,134$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.26 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 4,803$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.73 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 4,614$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.78 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…5baebacked Los Angeles Angels | 2c | 4,529$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 4,047$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.72 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 4,020$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.61 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 3,591$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.23 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 3,408$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 3,121$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.38 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 3,000$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 2,449$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 2,108$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.17 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 2,030$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.85 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Los Angeles Angels | 2c | 1,899$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 1,852$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.96 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 1,352$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.61 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 1,334$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.41 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 1,168$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 1,165$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 1,082$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.51 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 1,010$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.25 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 999.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 967.57$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 903.07$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 872.36$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.6 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 799.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 775.77$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.55 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 745.24$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Los Angeles Angels | 24c | 708.56$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 691.14$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.43 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 607.26$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 599.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…0f5dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 544.82$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 517.2$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.59 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 14c | 436.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 410$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 408.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 7c | 384.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 380$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 320.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Los Angeles Angels | 7c | 214.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 196.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…bc11backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 195.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 185$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…65acbacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 180.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…18e5backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…2d57backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +62%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Angels | 8c | 177.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e7…245dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 169.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Los Angeles Angels | 25c | 165.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 162.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 149$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc988…4d2cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 139.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 139.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 132.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 132.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…5ef9backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 124.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8060…7ee6backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 119.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 106.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…3177backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 106.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Los Angeles Angels | 21c | 102.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 98.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…1ad3backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 98.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 97.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 93.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 90.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 80.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.