MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff174bdd2bfd7ac907ada0a186bd46f202247901ea003694c861c06fe0de6e2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 46c | 70,639$32,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,165 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 54c | 30,145$16,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,337.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 57c | 23,794$13,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,567.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 55c | 13,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,149.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 8,916$4,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 5,715$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.03 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.95 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Under | 44c | 4,588$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.76 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 4,190$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 54c | 4,010$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.96 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 55c | 3,582$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 3,272$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 2,419$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 54c | 1,101$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 46c | 909.1$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.7 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 46c | 761$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 26c | 750$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 45c | 681.8$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.99 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 659.88$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.93 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 45c | 501.13$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.62 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 420$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Under | 60c | 418.44$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 47c | 295.57$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 54c | 280$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 41c | 262.63$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 256.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 45c | 174.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 45c | 160.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 36c | 148$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 122.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 42c | 111.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 55c | 111$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 55c | 100.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 45c | 98.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 51c | 97.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 45c | 96.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 56c | 92.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 46c | 92.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 50c | 90.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 88.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ef…bcd3backed Under | 41c | 88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 49c | 70.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 41c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7916…cb13backed Under | 39c | 58.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 54c | 58.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 47c | 57.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eab…85adbacked Over | 55c | 51.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 51c | 47.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 54c | 46.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 58c | 45.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 46c | 40.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Under | 44c | 38.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…5648backed Under | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 36.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 45c | 35.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…1d20backed Under | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 45c | 31.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 47c | 31.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 51c | 28.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…943ebacked Under | 44c | 24.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 20.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles AngelsBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.