MLB · resolved market
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd683afd7ee61b36ef5313bfff65aa186f977410b1ca5d97598a70753f5763ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 6,049$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.36 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 4,332$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 2,066$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.79 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 1,560$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.24 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,517$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.84 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,480$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,271$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.88 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,260$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 531.37$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 458.85$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…0860backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 209.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 180.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 165.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 144.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 115$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 104.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 14c | 97.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 94.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 61.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 60.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 53.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 50.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 48.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…943ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 38.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f82fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 25.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 24.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 19.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles AngelsBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.