Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x157e2c1e9f729320fa1c752017777b5e329508086ded56969e800ddf6d5bddca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal Poly Mustangsof Cal Poly Mustangs, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $549,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $751,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 50c | 188,770$94,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,401.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 50c | 156,692$78,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,346.06 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…1205backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 0c | 32,670$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 23c | 12,919$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 0c | 12,386$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 41c | 9,854$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 6,478$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.08 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 4c | 4,149$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 18c | 3,536$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 50c | 2,927$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 44c | 2,518$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.93 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 15c | 2,306$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.22 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 50c | 2,306$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.13 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 31c | 2,213$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.28 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 44c | 2,174$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.07 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 50c | 1,982$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.81 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 59c | 1,828$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.82 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 33c | 1,813$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.54 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 63c | 1,584$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 32c | 1,557$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.02 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 63c | 1,532$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.25 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 68c | 1,469$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 1,461$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.88 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 55c | 1,435$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 59c | 1,264$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9c23backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 16c | 1,236$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…4a8fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 54c | 1,060$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 40c | 901.1$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.25 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 15c | 833$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 69c | 819.44$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.89 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 686.36$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 44c | 637.09$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.73 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 54c | 625.92$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 70c | 620.68$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.46 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 59c | 583.45$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.66 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 37c | 570.09$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.93 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…7a8ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 73c | 567.01$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…993abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 37c | 510$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.1 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 15c | 499.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.36 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 58c | 459.55$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 44c | 450.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 24c | 406.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.89 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 386.3$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 41c | 380$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 56c | 357.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 342.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.61 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 66c | 333.15$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 37c | 329$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 55c | 308.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 18c | 305.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.84 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 14c | 300.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.56 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e13…d6d0backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 50c | 292.28$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 288.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 67c | 287.56$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…32d3backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 275.03$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 71cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 76c | 256$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 72c | 250$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 53c | 243.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.31 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 234.08$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.89 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 28c | 233.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…8823backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 17c | 223.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 42c | 202$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 27c | 200.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.42 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 196.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…b9d5backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 78c | 193$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 11c | 187.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 55c | 186$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 180.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…a69fbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 40c | 162.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 41c | 154.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 65c | 153.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 15c | 152.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 48c | 145.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 72c | 138.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 63c | 131.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 129.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 61c | 128.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 26c | 119.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 59c | 115.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 16c | 110$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 40c | 102.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 14c | 99.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 44c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 98.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 63c | 89.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsthis page
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 160.5Over won
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-10.5)Cal Poly Mustangs won
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-11.5)Cal Poly Mustangs won
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-12.5)Cal Poly Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.