TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a84…7a8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST3452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63.42
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+64%+$99.76
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Delaware State Hornetsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$58.07
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$83.34
Dayton Flyers vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.66
New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+119.1%+$20.63
UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougarsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+293.9%+$170.61
Arizona Wildcats vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$25.4
Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$89.63
Bradley Braves vs. UIC Flamesbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$64.55
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+137.3%+$73.69
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$79.19
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$239.08
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+227%+$238.53
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+67.2%+$126.79
Fairfield Stags vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.54
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$31.34
Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$72.56
Davidson Wildcats vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$95.3
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Syracuse Orangebacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+105.6%+$267.1
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$147.47
Florida State Seminoles vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+206.4%+$390.7
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$258.46
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$411.97
Monmouth Hawks vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32.22
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.44
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.95
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.54
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.6
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.36
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$176.55
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.74
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$260.26
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+60%+$107.56
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$101.1
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+400%+$117.8
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$52.96
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$48.3
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$209.34
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$89.57
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$87.27
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.77
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30.75
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$68.64
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+106.9%+$75.03
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$146.96
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+73.2%+$371.17
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$190.58
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$109.21
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$70.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$78.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.