Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33bd9df3168902724abf375520b6da5c4f6e2cd97f35caff456f94d76ae3a030
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesof Central Arkansas Bears, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 46c | 7,031$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.2 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 28c | 5,121$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 53c | 4,527$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.51 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 48c | 3,613$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.86 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Arkansas Bears | 62c | 3,464$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.07 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 74c | 3,295$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.84 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 77c | 2,595$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.46 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 32c | 2,536$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.4 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Central Arkansas Bears | 52c | 1,560$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.2 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 67c | 1,044$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.85 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Central Arkansas Bears | 64c | 975.24$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.09 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 19c | 915.21$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.13 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Central Arkansas Bears | 54c | 811.39$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.52 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Central Arkansas Bears | 52c | 665.21$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.19 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 53c | 559.1$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.23 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Arkansas Bears | 62c | 423.72$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.75 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 62c | 387.32$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Central Arkansas Bears | 45c | 365.37$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 47c | 310.51$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Central Arkansas Bears | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Central Arkansas Bears | 52c | 271.42$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Central Arkansas Bears | 57c | 264.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…da02backed Central Arkansas Bears | 78c | 263.97$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 45c | 237.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 70c | 232.07$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Central Arkansas Bears | 57c | 219.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 44c | 216$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 61c | 185$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Central Arkansas Bears | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 47c | 168.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Central Arkansas Bears | 18c | 163.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 47c | 159.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Central Arkansas Bears | 56c | 127.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…e4b0backed Central Arkansas Bears | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 30c | 93.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 54c | 92.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…7a8ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 64c | 87.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Central Arkansas Bears | 57c | 81.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 60c | 79.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 47c | 70.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 44c | 70.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Central Arkansas Bears | 62c | 62.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 47c | 60.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Central Arkansas Bears | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 47c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 21c | 55.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 27c | 51.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…360bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d2…46a0backed Central Arkansas Bears | 61c | 48.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 45c | 44.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Central Arkansas Bears | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Central Arkansas Bears | 60c | 39.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Central Arkansas Bears | 61c | 38.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 53c | 37.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 33c | 34.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 47c | 26.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Central Arkansas Bears | 54c | 22.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Central Arkansas Bears | 54c | 21.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Central Arkansas Bears | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Central Arkansas Bears | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Arkansas Bears vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesthis page
- Central Arkansas Bears vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-1.5)Florida Gulf Coast Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.