TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Tennis Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknech

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rinderknechof Marozsan, Rinderknech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8caf…f6d8backed Rinderknech42c28,099$11,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,317.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Marozsan58c11,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40057939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Marozsan38c7,367$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.57,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Marozsan42c6,235$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.292,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rinderknech44c5,697$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.782,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Marozsan17c4,126$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.1980938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Marozsan58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32049252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Marozsan55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9921147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Rinderknech40c2,523$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.861,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marozsan58c2,264$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.9511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Rinderknech18c2,250$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.217936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Marozsan60c2,151$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.7840744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Rinderknech48c2,144$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.881,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Marozsan62c2,097$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Marozsan64c1,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Marozsan1c1,501$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.036823.5%16 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked Marozsan52c1,484$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7691625%4 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Marozsan28c1,480$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42037854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Rinderknech45c1,323$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.21,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rinderknech38c1,317$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.841,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Rinderknech38c1,304$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.354957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Rinderknech39c1,280$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.781,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabef…3004backed Marozsan61c1,231$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.912356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Marozsan58c1,225$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.566149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Marozsan58c1,211$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.566,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rinderknech45c1,187$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.382,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Rinderknech44c1,170$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.371,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rinderknech55c1,145$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.398,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Marozsan61c1,016$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.384,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Marozsan50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Marozsan44c995.49$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9581349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Marozsan59c989.19$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.682,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Marozsan62c970.4$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.5948552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Rinderknech33c935.87$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.7916029.4%47 W · 113 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Marozsan63c934.19$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.9124060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Marozsan56c897.62$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.758845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rinderknech39c833.25$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.5776140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Rinderknech45c777.78$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.7811435.1%40 W · 74 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Marozsan61c693.8$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.2278152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Rinderknech15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6722634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Rinderknech40c666$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.9317462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Rinderknech34c664.71$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7112030%36 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Marozsan58c628.22$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.52,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Rinderknech44c620$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Rinderknech41c611.38$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.467239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rinderknech38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3723,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Rinderknech44c584$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.2353644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Rinderknech44c579$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Rinderknech39c522.2$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5463247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Rinderknech20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Marozsan64c469.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Marozsan60c453$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.57,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Rinderknech48c447.63$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8614947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rinderknech50c429.85$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.62,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Rinderknech47c425.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.316033.3%20 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed Marozsan58c407.45$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3811653.4%62 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rinderknech48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1826,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Marozsan58c320.09$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3393055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Marozsan47c310.56$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.372,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1816…06e9backed Rinderknech39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1833759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rinderknech43c294.66$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.962,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Rinderknech41c293$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.871,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Rinderknech42c285$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0438133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Marozsan62c264.71$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1211752.1%61 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9953…270fbacked Rinderknech44c253.06$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.712254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Marozsan17c252$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6858438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6747…3695backed Rinderknech40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Rinderknech40c244.45$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6760641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7c…3a6abacked Marozsan60c244.44$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.52564%16 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Marozsan58c241.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Rinderknech45c240$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5473745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Marozsan63c238.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Marozsan60c232.95$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.862,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Rinderknech38c226.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5835040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Rinderknech45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Marozsan73c221.95$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Rinderknech40c212$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.21,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…b3edbacked Rinderknech50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Marozsan56c191$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1269249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a84…7a8ebacked Marozsan58c186.64$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rinderknech46c184$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.364,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Rinderknech38c176$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.121,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Marozsan58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013439.6%53 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rinderknech51c164.71$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.717,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Rinderknech47c163.83$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.833360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Marozsan62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a6…a5cfbacked Marozsan62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006651.5%34 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Marozsan62c160$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.26953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Rinderknech46c156.52$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Rinderknech38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9324454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Marozsan66c143.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.666,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Marozsan59c140$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.38853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7607…85debacked Rinderknech43c138.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8810851.9%56 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Marozsan59c128.82$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.36,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Rinderknech47c118$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1392548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Marozsan37c112.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7888446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Rinderknech40c112.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.511454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rinderknech37c110.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.929636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf337…609abacked Marozsan60c104.73$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.719016.7%15 W · 75 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Marozsan59c104.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.413868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.