MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70cba74c6b6834a86b04bb54422c103c84bf22fc99eb38b9164f99085e68d73b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Milwaukee Brewers, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $794,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $807,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 344,444$168,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,777.5 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 254,626$129,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,781.43 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 39,403$20,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,307.58 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 38,848$20,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,647.04 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 26,386$6,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,696.35 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 25,166$12,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,582.84 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 22,660$11,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,032.89 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 19,697$10,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,263.67 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 19,696$10,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,454.15 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 19,436$10,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,134.92 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 14,005$7,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.69 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 14,000$9,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.43 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 13,193$7,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.58 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 10,706$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,671.08 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 10,306$5,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.5 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 9,882$5,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.32 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 9,516$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.69 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 8,290$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.56 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 8,219$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.4 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 7,926$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.13 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 7,334$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.2 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 6,119$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.88 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 6,055$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.4 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 6,002$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.85 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Milwaukee Brewers | 8c | 5,704$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.98 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 5,335$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.5 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 11c | 4,112$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.05 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 3,885$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.7 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 3,278$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.19 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 3,266$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.81 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 2,847$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,681$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.36 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 2,626$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.01 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 2,336$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.37 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4310…cd60backed Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 2,208$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 2,153$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.39 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 2,041$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.51 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 1,956$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Miami Marlins | 70c | 1,910$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.37 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 1,835$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.18 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,743$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.66 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,668$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.42 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 1,630$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.89 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,610$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.12 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.85 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 1,457$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 1,280$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,179$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.86 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 1,089$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.32 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 1,033$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 948.23$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.73 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 919.97$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.1 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 907.8$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.75 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 896.95$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.17 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 807.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.34 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 784.56$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.28 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 774.01$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.53 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 761.13$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.11 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 751.6$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.56 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 681.56$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.26 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 677.34$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.99 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 649.6$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.3 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 71c | 644.26$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 621.35$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.55 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 618.05$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.38 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 605.08$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.39 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…7a8ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 603.52$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 597.07$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.67 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 589.52$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 559.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.67 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Milwaukee Brewers | 5c | 556.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Miami Marlins | 69c | 540.88$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 510$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 506.34$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Miami Marlins | 70c | 502.08$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 498.74$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 469.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.19 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 463.52$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.63 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 443.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 443.91$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 443.84$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Milwaukee Brewers | 3c | 438.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 436.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 435.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 430.25$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.64 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 421.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…8d41backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 421.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.