TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under1c6,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70825%2 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+495.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under50c5,294$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.1515148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over50c4,150$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.6612551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c3,189$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.711,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5301,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over50c2,872$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.771,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c2,387$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.699,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over50c1,436$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.891,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,407$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.635,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over57c1,305$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.281,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…7a4abacked Under48c1,299$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.311963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under59c826.61$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.71,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under50c814.02$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.0147350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101365.9%8 W · 128 L+0.6wins0.00per pick5cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15498.2%4 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+173.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Under2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15395.1%2 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under42c730.46$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.662,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over58c608.32$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7753261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Over64c587.04$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.333145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Under50c559.74$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8748850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under50c460$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under49c446.28$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.526,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Under3c439.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6639.5%6 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19441847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a601backed Over51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.515341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c356.67$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.336,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under43c316.67$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.911,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c313.89$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.26,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over50c295.29$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6428850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c289.76$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over36c268.42$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2794034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over59c253.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1419934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over50c231.79$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.931046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Over49c231.03$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.827851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under44c227.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4852955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under51c221.86$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1567444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under51c205.77$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9411450.9%58 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over55c179.39$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.285,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x205b…d66abacked Over78c153.98$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.172090%18 W · 2 L+4.9wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+37.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c124.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.051,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over50c117.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0755464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over51c113.81$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7778052.2%407 W · 373 L+22.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Under53c108.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2851555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under15c107.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0716019.4%31 W · 129 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.512750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over56c83.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over43c82.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9955847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over48c81.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.871,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over48c78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.331,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under50c73.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5418553.5%99 W · 86 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over56c58.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6745246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c56.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.011,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over51c56.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6462554.2%339 W · 286 L+23.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2521746.5%101 W · 116 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over55c44.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1765050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Over56c44.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.717252.8%38 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over51c43.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2415858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under49c42.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2118648.4%90 W · 96 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under50c39.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8827354.6%149 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9319248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6925452%132 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over56c34.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1722949.8%114 W · 115 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c33.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under44c32.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.441,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under44c32.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2866749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Over49c30.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9113552.6%71 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over51c27.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7167453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under51c27.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.866446.9%30 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over50c27.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.586852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd53b…fc94backed Over77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.755367.9%36 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under58c24.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.212,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under47c24.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2412349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c23.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.782,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4884…6886backed Over59c23.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over52c22.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.684,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…36c6backed Over50c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.574257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd1…7e42backed Over64c19.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.