CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d8dc9f43d57363208febd8859a49a5575a76d1c310163a686525f3974ef8879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof Inner Circle Esports, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Inner Circle Esports | 29c | 9,815$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.29 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed TDK | 71c | 6,757$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.51 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1f26backed TDK | 67c | 2,733$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Esports | 57c | 1,114$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.72 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Inner Circle Esports | 45c | 1,076$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.67 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed TDK | 48c | 999.97$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.98 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…e34fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 39c | 919.05$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.1 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 66c | 900.34$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed TDK | 49c | 851.57$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.58 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TDK | 62c | 782.46$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.46 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked TDK | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Inner Circle Esports | 10c | 527.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 530 | 55.5%294 W · 236 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…300bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 521.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Inner Circle Esports | 29c | 521.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.53 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Inner Circle Esports | 27c | 488$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 62c | 421.86$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports | 40c | 386.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.67 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked TDK | 74c | 328.07$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed TDK | 67c | 320.95$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Inner Circle Esports | 19c | 317.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed TDK | 60c | 313$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Inner Circle Esports | 43c | 307.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle Esports | 41c | 297.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Inner Circle Esports | 18c | 281.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Inner Circle Esports | 41c | 207.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed TDK | 63c | 158.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…50c8backed Inner Circle Esports | 42c | 154$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…1aa1backed TDK | 56c | 135.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…140cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 53c | 124.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed TDK | 62c | 120.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked TDK | 64c | 116$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…7a8ebacked TDK | 70c | 109.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Inner Circle Esports | 10c | 101.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TDK | 52c | 98.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…d52fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 42c | 94.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed TDK | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed TDK | 37c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 592 | 62.2%368 W · 224 L | +21.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked TDK | 62c | 73.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked TDK | 50c | 59.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed TDK | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf726…bcfebacked TDK | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 52.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…3398backed Inner Circle Esports | 24c | 52.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed Inner Circle Esports | 43c | 50.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Inner Circle Esports | 42c | 45.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked TDK | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 313 | 39.6%124 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed TDK | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Inner Circle Esports | 28c | 42.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked TDK | 62c | 40.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…f6a8backed TDK | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…e5fbbacked Inner Circle Esports | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked TDK | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Inner Circle Esports | 42c | 34.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…ec6cbacked TDK | 63c | 33.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Inner Circle Esports | 45c | 30.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Inner Circle Esports | 36c | 29.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed TDK | 67c | 25.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…b61bbacked TDK | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.