Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77ae417ea681e3bd492631a8442e6329699990d606eb0565097c125ab40dd114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bustaof Busta, Shapovalov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Busta | 33c | 25,000$8,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,769.46 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d1c7backed Shapovalov | 57c | 20,811$11,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,905.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Shapovalov | 42c | 19,614$8,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,333.36 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Busta | 66c | 18,557$12,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,305.6 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Shapovalov | 67c | 16,473$11,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,067.59 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Busta | 62c | 9,347$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.95 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Busta | 59c | 8,086$4,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.05 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Busta | 63c | 7,679$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.75 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Shapovalov | 9c | 7,652$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.79 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Shapovalov | 67c | 7,332$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.45 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Busta | 66c | 7,077$4,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.56 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shapovalov | 28c | 6,000$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.39 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Busta | 33c | 5,500$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Shapovalov | 39c | 5,499$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.83 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Busta | 47c | 5,151$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.47 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Busta | 51c | 4,668$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.99 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Shapovalov | 16c | 4,626$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Busta | 32c | 4,062$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.48 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed Shapovalov | 67c | 3,439$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.75 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Shapovalov | 34c | 3,254$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.8 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Shapovalov | 11c | 3,074$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.74 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Shapovalov | 37c | 2,606$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.9 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Busta | 53c | 2,602$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.65 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Shapovalov | 67c | 2,499$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.33 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Shapovalov | 53c | 2,478$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.09 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Shapovalov | 48c | 2,080$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…ee9abacked Busta | 34c | 1,851$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…6bacbacked Shapovalov | 66c | 1,850$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Shapovalov | 69c | 1,511$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.85 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Busta | 34c | 1,458$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.33 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Busta | 69c | 1,440$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.9 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Busta | 49c | 1,338$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b7…00a0backed Shapovalov | 39c | 1,184$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Shapovalov | 45c | 1,129$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Shapovalov | 4c | 1,083$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Busta | 34c | 1,077$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.88 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Busta | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Busta | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Busta | 25c | 1,000$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Busta | 35c | 999.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.05 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Busta | 50c | 903.08$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.54 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Shapovalov | 33c | 897.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Shapovalov | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Shapovalov | 67c | 834.76$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.67 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Busta | 13c | 800$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Shapovalov | 43c | 799.78$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.9 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Shapovalov | 42c | 707.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Busta | 13c | 700$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 13cpaid | +273.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Shapovalov | 31c | 694.12$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Busta | 63c | 691.08$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Shapovalov | 8c | 626.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Busta | 71c | 622.78$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…5503backed Busta | 23c | 600$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Busta | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Shapovalov | 67c | 600$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Busta | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.4wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Shapovalov | 67c | 567$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.89 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Shapovalov | 18c | 565.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Busta | 34c | 550$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Busta | 45c | 539.32$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.63 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Busta | 45c | 533.38$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.19 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Shapovalov | 44c | 519$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Shapovalov | 43c | 502$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Shapovalov | 33c | 500$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Shapovalov | 35c | 488.11$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shapovalov | 28c | 471.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Shapovalov | 65c | 454.54$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.45 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Busta | 43c | 429.64$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.64 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Shapovalov | 31c | 410$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Shapovalov | 18c | 406.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Shapovalov | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Busta | 8c | 400$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.29per pick | 6cpaid | +304.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Shapovalov | 41c | 387.67$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…68e3backed Shapovalov | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Shapovalov | 41c | 368.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…e4dcbacked Shapovalov | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Shapovalov | 23c | 355.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Shapovalov | 17c | 347.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…7a8ebacked Shapovalov | 49c | 345.59$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Shapovalov | 67c | 342.15$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.24 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Shapovalov | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Shapovalov | 30c | 317$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Shapovalov | 45c | 315$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.17 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Busta | 34c | 313.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.97 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Shapovalov | 48c | 312.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shapovalov | 66c | 304.9$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.22 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…191bbacked Busta | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.46per pick | 16cpaid | +344.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Shapovalov | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Shapovalov | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Shapovalov | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Shapovalov | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Shapovalov | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Shapovalov | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Shapovalov | 8c | 295.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Busta | 12c | 270$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.70per pick | 14cpaid | +691.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Shapovalov | 44c | 254.55$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Busta | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Shapovalov | 69c | 249.88$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.42 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Shapovalov | 5c | 248.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Busta | 70c | 237.14$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalovthis page
- Busta vs. Shapovalov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Busta vs ShapovalovBusta won
- Set Handicap: Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)Busta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.