NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe97bf796552391a6965aaab7e4f95e23d6c3c3708ce240289d72ba7b0f35d11f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,156,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,205,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,156,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 821 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bucks | 40c | 375,000$150,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,999.97 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 60c | 218,534$130,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,977.85 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Bucks | 41c | 123,427$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 60c | 74,207$44,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,812.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors | 60c | 33,333$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,333.33 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Raptors | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 50c | 23,133$11,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,581.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Raptors | 61c | 19,845$12,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,739.52 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Bucks | 40c | 19,709$7,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,963.75 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 60c | 16,666$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.4 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 59c | 15,827$9,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,423.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 48c | 14,582$6,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,940.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Bucks | 44c | 13,409$5,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,856.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Raptors | 60c | 13,327$8,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,286.34 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e36…5dddbacked Bucks | 41c | 13,000$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.97 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Raptors | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…d5f4backed Bucks | 40c | 12,418$4,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,976.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 60c | 10,527$6,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.99 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Raptors | 59c | 10,000$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.95 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bucks | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Bucks | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Bucks | 40c | 8,718$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.14 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8686…1456backed Bucks | 2c | 8,551$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Raptors | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 61c | 7,224$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Bucks | 31c | 7,179$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.63 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Bucks | 38c | 6,718$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.13 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 63c | 6,363$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.24 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Bucks | 2c | 6,152$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 49c | 6,047$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1d…3054backed Bucks | 42c | 5,238$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Raptors | 63c | 5,000$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.25 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Bucks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc763…be8bbacked Raptors | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Raptors | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Bucks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.96 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…944cbacked Raptors | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Bucks | 20c | 4,861$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.2 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Bucks | 39c | 4,859$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…2da4backed Raptors | 59c | 4,800$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…575bbacked Bucks | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 60c | 4,627$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Bucks | 39c | 4,511$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.96 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 60c | 4,510$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.07 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Raptors | 67c | 4,484$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.72 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Raptors | 69c | 4,476$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.82 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 49c | 4,382$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.95 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Raptors | 60c | 4,141$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.49 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Bucks | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 59c | 3,975$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bucks | 42c | 3,926$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.3 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors | 59c | 3,835$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.35 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bucks | 2c | 3,772$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 43c | 3,706$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.56 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…2b17backed Raptors | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Raptors | 61c | 3,388$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.32 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…af01backed Bucks | 42c | 3,300$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…775cbacked Bucks | 41c | 3,300$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…07fcbacked Raptors | 58c | 3,300$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…3ae6backed Raptors | 58c | 3,296$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…5119backed Bucks | 40c | 3,263$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.29 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bucks | 39c | 3,077$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…a091backed Raptors | 59c | 3,027$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…a56fbacked Bucks | 41c | 3,010$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bucks | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Bucks | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Raptors | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.96 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Raptors | 57c | 2,891$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.99 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Raptors | 59c | 2,769$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.46 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Raptors | 67c | 2,669$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.17 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Bucks | 17c | 2,661$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.19 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Raptors | 63c | 2,655$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.1 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Raptors | 60c | 2,640$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.18 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Bucks | 39c | 2,633$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.87 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Bucks | 2c | 2,587$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Raptors | 54c | 2,579$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.92 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Raptors | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Bucks | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Raptors | 63c | 2,500$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Raptors | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.97 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Raptors | 66c | 2,491$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.12 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…34a5backed Raptors | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba7…c3c4backed Bucks | 42c | 2,396$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…1ccdbacked Raptors | 59c | 2,300$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Bucks | 41c | 2,241$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.31 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 39c | 2,225$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.75 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Raptors | 59c | 2,185$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.25 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Bucks | 31c | 2,181$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.16 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 72c | 2,147$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.39 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 65c | 2,100$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Bucks | 1c | 2,068$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks | 2c | 2,051$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 59c | 2,003$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.28 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Raptors | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Raptors | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Bucks | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.95 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Bucksthis page
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 212.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.