NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80ab60e2042435173efb64c9c0a54a72338b96c3df93d1fb52d8d98c488b87e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $620,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $621,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 51c | 471,260$240,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230,522 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks | 49c | 191,207$93,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,279.32 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bucks | 49c | 75,000$36,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,750 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Bucks | 49c | 30,209$14,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,802.59 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Bucks | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 51c | 18,016$9,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,827.69 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Bucks | 48c | 12,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.99 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 51c | 10,543$5,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,327.12 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Raptors | 50c | 10,001$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.48 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Raptors | 50c | 10,001$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.74 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 48c | 9,162$4,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 52c | 8,818$4,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.58 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Bucks | 50c | 8,417$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.27 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 49c | 7,299$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.51 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Raptors | 48c | 5,757$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.7 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Raptors | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 49c | 4,301$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…a146backed Bucks | 52c | 4,019$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Raptors | 48c | 4,019$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Bucks | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.17 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 51c | 3,071$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 49c | 2,946$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Bucks | 53c | 2,808$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Bucks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Raptors | 48c | 1,980$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…5266backed Bucks | 52c | 1,980$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 49c | 1,751$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.81 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 47c | 1,583$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.94 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors | 49c | 1,491$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.41 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 33c | 1,340$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Raptors | 49c | 1,288$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.99 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,214$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.86 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,045$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.2 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Bucks | 49c | 1,041$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.67 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Bucks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Bucks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks | 52c | 800.01$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.19 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Raptors | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 48c | 687$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Bucks | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 47c | 610.66$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.93 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Bucks | 38c | 500$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Bucks | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 51c | 490.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.54 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Raptors | 51c | 467.96$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.3 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Raptors | 41c | 457.36$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.84 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Raptors | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Raptors | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bucks | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bucks | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 49c | 242.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Raptors | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bucks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Bucks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Raptors | 50c | 195.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Bucks | 50c | 188.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bucks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bucks | 12c | 152.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Bucks | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Raptors | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 31c | 149.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2857…3e27backed Raptors | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Bucks | 48c | 137.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Raptors | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Raptors | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Raptors | 49c | 131.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…8158backed Raptors | 49c | 107.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -6.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2641…062fbacked Raptors | 43c | 107$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Raptors | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Bucks | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Raptors | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bucks | 48c | 99.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Raptors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Bucks | 50c | 88.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Bucks | 51c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Bucks | 40c | 85.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Raptors | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Bucks | 51c | 82.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Raptors | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Bucks | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Bucks | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Raptors | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…bfaebacked Bucks | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…05e1backed Raptors | 50c | 70.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Bucks | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01bd…8357backed Bucks | 54c | 67.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Raptors | 49c | 67.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…f89dbacked Raptors | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Bucks | 53c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Raptors | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Bucks | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Bucks | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Bucks | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Bucks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Raptors | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Bucks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bucks | 56c | 54.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)this page
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Raptors vs. BucksRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 212.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.