TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd1e6…5266

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Hornetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300.98
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$1,094.8
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$373.5
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,029.6
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$981.55
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,067.47
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,825
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,969.92
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,109.75
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$900.91
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$4,188.6
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$999.4
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,094Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$2,094.47
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,096.04
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+117.4%+$786.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Janice Tjen vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,511Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$4,121.57
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,872Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,248.04
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Mboko (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,017.82
Schwaerzler vs. Piros: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$665.5
Joel Schwaerzler vs. Zsombor Piros: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,197.76
Tsitsipas vs. Rublev: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,241.17
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$669.74
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,524.59
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5)backed Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,241.12
Set Handicap: Halys (-1.5) vs Choinski (+1.5)backed Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,189.08
Ostapenko vs. Mboko: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,003Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,776.13
Zakharova vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,008.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: PS (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5)backed Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,974Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$5,426.56
LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked WLGaming Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,017.61
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,001.46
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+143.9%+$830.13
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,051.35
Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs SU Esports (+1.5)backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.58
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$618.19
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+170.3%+$1,709.95
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$3,731.29
Game Handicap: CKZ (-2.5) vs Priority (+2.5)backed CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$999.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$991.9
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$541.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Charlton Athletic FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,866.95
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,054
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,047.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$891.08
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$148.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,156.2
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$988.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.37
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,006.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$2,626.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,896Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,615.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.