Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: PS (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd77dfe3fbdd88f71a58095187271c33f2762162de92b6d269191e920bdbe8a32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizan Sangalof Partizan Sangal, WLGaming Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,826 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1e6…5266backed Partizan Sangal | 56c | 12,400$6,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,426.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed WLGaming Esports | 44c | 9,107$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Partizan Sangal | 57c | 8,034$4,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,454.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…8573backed WLGaming Esports | 43c | 8,034$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked WLGaming Esports | 44c | 6,431$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…952cbacked WLGaming Esports | 41c | 5,000$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Partizan Sangal | 59c | 4,702$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…ad46backed Partizan Sangal | 56c | 4,650$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.19 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed Partizan Sangal | 56c | 3,768$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.04 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…a146backed Partizan Sangal | 56c | 3,615$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Partizan Sangal | 56c | 3,612$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked WLGaming Esports | 44c | 2,549$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed WLGaming Esports | 44c | 2,354$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked WLGaming Esports | 44c | 2,346$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…8f4ebacked WLGaming Esports | 44c | 2,316$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…0139backed WLGaming Esports | 44c | 2,295$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Partizan Sangal | 60c | 838.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.7 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…d3bbbacked WLGaming Esports | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Partizan Sangal | 59c | 682.36$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.67 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed WLGaming Esports | 40c | 530.36$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.14 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…fd64backed WLGaming Esports | 43c | 498.37$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked WLGaming Esports | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Partizan Sangal | 50c | 385$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Partizan Sangal | 68c | 295.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed WLGaming Esports | 42c | 288$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed WLGaming Esports | 40c | 252.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed WLGaming Esports | 16c | 212.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked WLGaming Esports | 35c | 205$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Partizan Sangal | 55c | 183.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Partizan Sangal | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Partizan Sangal | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed WLGaming Esports | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Partizan Sangal | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked WLGaming Esports | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked WLGaming Esports | 42c | 27.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Partizan Sangal | 65c | 25.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 173 | 66.5%115 W · 58 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: PS (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5)this page
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group GPartizan Sangal won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.