TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb096…fd64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.05
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Journey Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$588.07
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Bbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs Tricked (+1.5)backed Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$337.17
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$232.56
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dbacked 5Actors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs 5Actors - Map 2 Winnerbacked 5Actors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$213.53
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alcorn State Braves (W)backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+185.2%+$95.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$359.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$528
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Brad Tavares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.