CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa447bb9f20d1a2f2df079a5f52da3a0630603f73edc21a5c84c44e5333b584ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof STATE, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 4,189$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed STATE | 50c | 2,645$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.72 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked STATE | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…8501backed STATE | 52c | 917.56$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked STATE | 52c | 888$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.13 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bushido Wildcats | 20c | 682.43$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 578.88$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.82 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed STATE | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 477$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…284bbacked STATE | 59c | 424.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed STATE | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…fd64backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 335.92$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked STATE | 52c | 259.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed STATE | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked STATE | 51c | 173.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 169.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 165.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 130.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 117.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 103.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked STATE | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 81.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed STATE | 67c | 60.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked STATE | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 31.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed STATE | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…a64abacked Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed STATE | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked STATE | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsSTATE won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.