TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
STATEof STATE, Bushido Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,736 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82fd…9908backed STATE49c2,932$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08d3…b418backed Bushido Wildcats51c2,716$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed STATE53c2,600$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22843455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats47c2,000$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.257,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bushido Wildcats44c1,612$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.4856732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Bushido Wildcats38c1,447$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.995,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Bushido Wildcats56c1,186$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6658844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbf…8c7bbacked Bushido Wildcats16c1,078$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Bushido Wildcats55c1,023$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.6233060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed STATE45c998.28$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.051,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked STATE56c997$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.343,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed STATE36c882.82$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.1792152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1f…a252backed STATE36c833.08$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.8615033.3%50 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc865…3178backed Bushido Wildcats55c795.86$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Bushido Wildcats51c743.86$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.96,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bushido Wildcats34c670.62$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.173,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x889e…520abacked STATE61c659.45$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.654254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b3…f307backed STATE48c646$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+193.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Bushido Wildcats32c639.12$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.072,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed STATE43c489.86$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.125,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e64…284bbacked STATE46c489.66$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.662070%14 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e07…3545backed STATE67c457.03$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.827647.4%36 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed STATE70c415.57$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.151,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54f6…ab70backed Bushido Wildcats19c389$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Bushido Wildcats70c380.57$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3334542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a7…d9fabacked Bushido Wildcats12c376.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Bushido Wildcats57c373$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8448948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba46…956ebacked Bushido Wildcats54c345.76$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked STATE60c334.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9213742.3%58 W · 79 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked STATE41c324.49$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0545450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Bushido Wildcats47c309.68$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.421,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x271f…0a04backed Bushido Wildcats16c306$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.961540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed STATE63c294.06$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0813857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bushido Wildcats52c282$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.231,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed STATE50c274.11$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.220942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked STATE70c267.44$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.662,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed STATE54c240.8$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2411745.3%53 W · 64 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0358…30e2backed Bushido Wildcats67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503381.8%27 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bushido Wildcats43c216.46$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.134,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed STATE50c213.25$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10652750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d46…b529backed Bushido Wildcats25c201$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed STATE48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10435848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2e…b5a5backed STATE41c198.21$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8213847.1%65 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+65.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Bushido Wildcats55c186$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4524747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x928a…8044backed STATE32c179.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3220358.6%119 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Bushido Wildcats71c143.88$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.157255.6%40 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d0e…13aabacked Bushido Wildcats50c139.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8215638.5%60 W · 96 L-19.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Bushido Wildcats57c114$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1227443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed STATE52c112.61$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6114853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed STATE30c106.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.141,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed STATE29c104$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1283543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa0…c3acbacked STATE49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044065%26 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Bushido Wildcats53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5361054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked STATE48c98.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2332536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bushido Wildcats33c84.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.112,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked STATE48c83.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.438047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Bushido Wildcats60c83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.818063.9%115 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Bushido Wildcats63c80.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7511646.6%54 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433d…a85abacked STATE66c80.77$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Bushido Wildcats70c78.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2979951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked STATE38c76.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.935744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a2…c111backed Bushido Wildcats27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205731.6%18 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74e3…59cdbacked Bushido Wildcats54c71.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.862458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa743…7300backed Bushido Wildcats55c64.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.318644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked STATE28c61.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.171,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed STATE54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5480744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed STATE37c48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1246843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Bushido Wildcats49c47.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3845224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bushido Wildcats46c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.052,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Bushido Wildcats54c41.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2395849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Bushido Wildcats56c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.637339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedaa…89b4backed STATE35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2624535.9%88 W · 157 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd35…c85ebacked STATE51c39.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Bushido Wildcats51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed STATE51c38.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.792,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x907f…cee9backed STATE75c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33ec…09e2backed STATE75c36.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Bushido Wildcats70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2596543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed STATE47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.962045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5de…88dabacked Bushido Wildcats68c31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.083650%18 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ba6…2a7ebacked STATE40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Bushido Wildcats61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.232,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed STATE46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.239237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad3…8065backed Bushido Wildcats51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdba6…13a3backed Bushido Wildcats49c27.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed STATE39c26.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.352755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x862c…9d40backed Bushido Wildcats53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed STATE78c25.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a2…d591backed STATE40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Bushido Wildcats56c23.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9617745.8%81 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5e77backed Bushido Wildcats50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f5…7a95backed STATE77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4823751.5%122 W · 115 L-14.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4108…1c5dbacked STATE78c18.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.921163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.