TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe6d…9d6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT8047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Akimbo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-Inbacked bond1e · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO5) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffsbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.43
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.61
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+70%+$68.07
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.11
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.98
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.71
Counter-Strike: magic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Group Dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.64
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.06
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$584.88
Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 (BO5) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.11
Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$194.93
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$204.75
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.79
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.35
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Phantom (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$109.3
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs AaB Esport (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$271.84
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs AaB Esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.65
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.2
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$310.59
Counter-Strike: OG vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.47
Counter-Strike: Z7 Esports vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked Z7 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.24
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$237.68
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT4065%26 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.22
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$99.1
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$133.12
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$97.15
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.69
Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$161.24
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$28.73
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.71
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.36
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$68.46
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$89.73
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.55
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.1
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.34
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.11
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs LiXO eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.27
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs LiXO eSports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$46.46
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$32.66
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.64
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.25
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$19.05
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.23
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.06
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.58
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.93
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.49
Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Dortmund eSports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagebacked eSports Cologne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.14
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs DNSTY (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsbacked DNSTY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$239.67
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs REBORN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.66
Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs FUT Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Galatasaray Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.98
Valorant: Mandatory vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.58
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.57
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.51
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 1 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$65.47
Valorant: Mir Gaming vs Gen.G Global Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Mir Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.13
Valorant: sleepers vs Nightblood Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$26.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.17
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.13
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.81
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.09
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulane Green Wave vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.