Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Mandatory vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c0ff93f21f30a67171c69511dab0adc3f981264d5a30b764178d22f296db299
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Mandatory, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Galions | 66c | 938.13$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.62 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mandatory | 8c | 484.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Galions | 62c | 312.56$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Mandatory | 34c | 278.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mandatory | 14c | 272.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Mandatory | 74c | 221.46$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Galions | 31c | 187.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mandatory | 76c | 126.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Mandatory | 16c | 125.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mandatory | 73c | 122.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mandatory | 33c | 113.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mandatory | 68c | 111.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Mandatory | 36c | 99.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Mandatory | 45c | 85.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mandatory | 27c | 82.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Galions | 50c | 65.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Mandatory | 77c | 64.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mandatory | 37c | 60.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked Galions | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Mandatory | 33c | 54.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions | 71c | 50.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Galions | 26c | 48.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mandatory | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Galions | 29c | 45.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Mandatory | 72c | 43.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Mandatory | 67c | 42.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Mandatory | 53c | 39.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Mandatory | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Mandatory | 71c | 23.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Mandatory | 74c | 22.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeae…17c7backed Mandatory | 75c | 19.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…526fbacked Mandatory | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.