Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs REBORN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa88dbf09de0a5419ebaa3981d6b55672b468325ad61bbf0c7143930b851f0dea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REBORNof Fire Flux Esports, REBORN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed REBORN | 63c | 3,326$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.11 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 939.49$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 916.56$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Fire Flux Esports | 21c | 576.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 489.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed REBORN | 67c | 365.69$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REBORN | 62c | 342.9$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked REBORN | 62c | 266.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 268 | 58.6%157 W · 111 L | +18.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 183$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 144$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REBORN | 62c | 121.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports | 47c | 121.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 112.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed REBORN | 74c | 92.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fire Flux Esports | 24c | 81.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed REBORN | 68c | 73.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Fire Flux Esports | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Fire Flux Esports | 24c | 57.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed REBORN | 57c | 53.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 38.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked REBORN | 60c | 29.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked REBORN | 79c | 27.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed REBORN | 66c | 23.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…843cbacked REBORN | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs REBORN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs REBORN (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B REBORN won
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs REBORN - Map 1 Winner REBORN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.