TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Virtus.pro, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,428 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro25c48,591$12,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,10054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Team Spirit75c28,419$21,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,104.795549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Team Spirit75c13,857$10,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,464.2914253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit74c12,878$9,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.522,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Spirit77c8,948$6,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.9586949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Virtus.pro27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89013020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Virtus.pro26c6,253$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.788749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Virtus.pro19c6,006$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.149636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Virtus.pro26c5,104$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.8533746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro23c5,100$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Team Spirit78c4,578$3,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.586349.2%31 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Team Spirit77c4,536$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.76160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit76c2,631$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.0822842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro23c2,200$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.9881029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Team Spirit73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54015653.8%84 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro27c1,651$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.131,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit71c1,601$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.2916665.7%109 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Virtus.pro25c1,513$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.1418746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit70c1,319$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.0346649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Virtus.pro28c1,039$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7751751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro23c1,004$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.011,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro29c612.52$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.351,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit74c599.98$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9949455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Team Spirit74c565.53$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0422954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Team Spirit71c532.97$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7428544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Team Spirit75c523$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.757231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Virtus.pro27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13517133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Team Spirit73c423.38$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3872035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Spirit72c416$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4836759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed Team Spirit77c406.98$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.025554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63a2…5bc1backed Virtus.pro26c380.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9612638.9%49 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83d…8a3fbacked Virtus.pro30c326.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.53825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Virtus.pro31c323.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Virtus.pro29c305$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4560552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Spirit70c300.33$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3354753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Virtus.pro29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.633549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Virtus.pro23c264.94$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9480742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit71c261.97$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9772154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro24c233.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7573841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit72c217.45$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.252,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Virtus.pro22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4416725.7%43 W · 124 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb2c…e9a0backed Team Spirit73c200$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Team Spirit77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Virtus.pro25c197.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5086451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Team Spirit76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.372065%13 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro13c176.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.131,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Spirit71c175$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7528549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Spirit76c175$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4270052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Virtus.pro32c164.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5466662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f9e…10c8backed Team Spirit77c145$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.357149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro24c143.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5677941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c01…8c6cbacked Team Spirit74c135.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.54452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Team Spirit75c133$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.257159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Spirit77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8720367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Team Spirit73c128.73$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.493479.4%27 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+22.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Team Spirit71c124$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.967950.6%40 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Virtus.pro27c116.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3656548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac17…eccabacked Virtus.pro30c106.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.617446%80 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Virtus.pro28c100.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9978516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x8e67…0f23backed Team Spirit73c95.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.497263.9%46 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Team Spirit76c94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+95.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Virtus.pro24c94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908b…247cbacked Team Spirit75c86.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.588254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3116…b54bbacked Virtus.pro25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Virtus.pro25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Virtus.pro28c71.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206431.3%20 W · 44 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked Team Spirit71c69.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.254065%26 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Team Spirit77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9424955.4%138 W · 111 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Team Spirit77c62.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1413452.2%70 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed Team Spirit74c59.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.613655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d63…1f72backed Virtus.pro26c55.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-58.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked Team Spirit75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3336761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0942…f42fbacked Team Spirit72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145438.9%21 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Team Spirit75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.592561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Spirit74c42.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1350855.5%282 W · 226 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed Team Spirit73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.126454.5%144 W · 120 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Team Spirit74c40.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4760660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Virtus.pro25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Virtus.pro28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.263032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Spirit77c36.6$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.311,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit70c36.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9831245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro34c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.850832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…02babacked Team Spirit77c33.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Team Spirit77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92781.5%22 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick75cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked Team Spirit65c18.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5140539.3%159 W · 246 L-0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc108…37d7backed Team Spirit77c16.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b80…6977backed Team Spirit77c15.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked Team Spirit77c14.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.