Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf97bbd8659daf945cca2bcec946729291035cc8e323b5d7a7b7b15b6325c6282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Virtus.pro, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,573 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 51,605$12,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,330.98 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 15,237$11,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.34 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 9,000$6,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.46 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Spirit | 74c | 7,358$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.15 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Spirit | 76c | 5,032$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.63 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 4,757$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.85 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Spirit | 75c | 4,441$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.37 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 1c | 3,691$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 3,647$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.97 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Spirit | 74c | 2,400$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 75c | 2,134$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.81 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 2,049$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 1,906$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.52 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Spirit | 75c | 1,845$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.45 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 1,745$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.21 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 1,727$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 77c | 1,517$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.77 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team Spirit | 74c | 1,434$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.71 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit | 74c | 1,371$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.98 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 1,290$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.88 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,249$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.62 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 1,184$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.9 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 1,054$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.45 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,007$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 967.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 945.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team Spirit | 77c | 764.42$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.71 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Spirit | 75c | 705.51$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Virtus.pro | 4c | 609.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 536.3$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro | 3c | 499.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 76c | 494.43$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 478.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Spirit | 75c | 470.81$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Spirit | 75c | 469.78$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 76c | 456.94$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 78c | 399.79$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Team Spirit | 74c | 394$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 382.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Team Spirit | 72c | 377$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team Spirit | 73c | 364.84$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 350.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 330.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Team Spirit | 75c | 289$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Spirit | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 260.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 257.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Team Spirit | 75c | 239$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Spirit | 72c | 229.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 207.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 205.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Spirit | 73c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Team Spirit | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 178.17$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 155.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 147.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 141.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Team Spirit | 74c | 135.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…82b4backed Team Spirit | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 131.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 125.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Spirit | 74c | 116.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Spirit | 73c | 114$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…bf95backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 111.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 259 | 53.3%138 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Team Spirit | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Spirit | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 77.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 74.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Spirit | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Spirit | 74c | 55.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…c84dbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Spirit | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Spirit | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 49.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 45.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 41.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…b54abacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 40.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed Team Spirit | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 39.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8057…b7f1backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 39.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7b…332dbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 39.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Team Spirit | 74c | 38.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Spirit | 74c | 37.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 36.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Team Spirit | 73c | 29.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.