TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 (BO5) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof magic, K27
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked magic49c4,602$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.267,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed K2752c4,410$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.0329858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed magic40c3,686$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.836742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed K2754c3,305$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.5520554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed magic26c1,721$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.315,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked K2765c1,524$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.513,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2770c1,358$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.174,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked magic26c1,250$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.2653545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed magic37c1,143$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.346,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed magic43c1,026$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.8715133.1%50 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8083…0b28backed K2712c953.42$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.683036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked K2750c778.21$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.118047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9589…5b36backed K2754c723.92$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.44862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf44…760bbacked magic31c621$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…0db0backed K2776c609.23$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed magic23c601.62$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.2522734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked magic22c599.46$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.371,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed K2776c570.93$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.763360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd5…e61cbacked K2719c488.84$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2606…ba10backed magic47c474.25$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.43956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed magic21c463.15$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.914953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed magic44c450.53$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.328436.9%31 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed K2753c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21224429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked magic47c359.68$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6360953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked K2750c357.35$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.671,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4092…f145backed K2737c338.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.855650%28 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic30c321.93$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.135,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked magic47c311.6$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4112746.5%59 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked K2752c299.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15658343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0968…18bfbacked magic7c287.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+407.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed magic22c272.65$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.44,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked magic16c269.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6924249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae2…06f0backed K2725c232.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed magic47c214.27$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5814237.3%53 W · 89 L-18.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked K2754c206.86$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8245663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6a…3319backed K2748c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.885858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed K2749c198.68$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2633448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed magic18c198.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.272951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed magic47c193.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.631,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed magic51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2598856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed magic28c177.81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.327848.6%135 W · 143 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked K2755c176.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3133459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03e8…d073backed K2742c174.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.447136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aff…86b9backed magic21c173.24$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.353161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x537d…615bbacked K2753c165.35$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.953053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed magic22c164.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7876248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked K2759c158.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.521,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked K2725c153.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.214046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked magic14c150.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.331,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52aa…505ebacked K2750c135.62$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.92227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked magic50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed K2731c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.331731.9%101 W · 216 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed K2745c127.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.822,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed magic45c121.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.231,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed magic12c121.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10717617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ff…9cfbbacked magic32c118.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+123.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed magic30c117.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9530527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed K2752c116.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0110554.3%57 W · 48 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed magic54c112.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.121,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked K2748c112.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-78.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed magic46c108.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5251755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked K2749c106.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9815648.1%75 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…9733backed magic30c105.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed magic35c103.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.851,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd419…0d64backed magic47c102.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.225248.1%25 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb4…9ed0backed K2748c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…9213backed K2749c100.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.032441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed K2722c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2235344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d5…5bbebacked K2774c99.69$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.47162%44 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed magic54c97.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7322551.1%115 W · 110 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked K2750c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.520145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked K2750c95.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5635752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed magic28c95.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8963541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed magic54c90.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.861,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked K2749c88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1231328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe967…7ab8backed magic22c86.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed magic38c86.41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2116349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked magic18c85.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1684037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked K2727c85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9538636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed magic26c84.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5632138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked magic55c82.64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1338858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked magic64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5227754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0c…96a0backed K2729c75.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cd…26f0backed magic41c71.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.534452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdde…af48backed K2769c71.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0713964%89 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked magic48c70.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3715352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed K2764c65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.864439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked magic27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.89538.9%37 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa517…33efbacked K2778c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.82272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ed1…e995backed magic47c59.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c62…7aecbacked magic33c58.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+88.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed magic43c56.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0315358.2%89 W · 64 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked K2768c55.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8547260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed magic47c52.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8614839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked K2775c52.53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.425753.7%138 W · 119 L-20.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed magic40c52.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1549376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xe2df…2368backed K2745c49.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4311750.4%59 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd93…8b89backed K2721c48.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed magic40c46.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8567372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed K2765c45.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4955950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.