CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x293eb3b774470b1c41b81f82650413c81e686fcd1eab9f24672a8a96e0048a7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of magic, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf3a…a7b3backed K27 | 56c | 1,783$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked magic | 47c | 701.26$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.4 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked magic | 48c | 616.91$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.85 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 48c | 526.38$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.08 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 45c | 509.72$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked K27 | 50c | 389.48$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.93 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed K27 | 54c | 249.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed K27 | 52c | 203.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic | 67c | 176.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed K27 | 62c | 131.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked magic | 67c | 128.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 53c | 123.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed magic | 48c | 100.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked magic | 40c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed magic | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed magic | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked magic | 44c | 57.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…272fbacked K27 | 69c | 48.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed magic | 59c | 48.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed magic | 53c | 42.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…0d7cbacked magic | 48c | 36.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed magic | 33c | 34.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked magic | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed magic | 40c | 29.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed magic | 56c | 24.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed K27 | 48c | 22.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed magic | 57c | 20.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed magic | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 (BO5) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 3 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 4 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.